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IDC expects global PC shipments to total 482 million by 2012

Low-cost portable notebooks and netbooks may not be the sexiest devices out there, but they are among the most popular. As holds true for most segments of technology -- including notebooks – cheaper, mainstream systems will outsell high-end enthusiast units.

According to a new report from IDC called IDC's Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker, low-cost portable systems are allowing the PC market to resist economic pressures. Despite the current economic woes in many areas, PC shipments are still growing.

Shipments are especially growing in the low-end portable market reports IDC. The low-end portable market is expected to continue driving growth for the next few years. Worldwide PC shipments are expected to grow by 15.7% in 2008 to 311 million units.

Growth in worldwide shipments is expected to remain in the double-digits through 2011 and fall off to somewhere above 9% by 2012. In 2012, IDC predicts that over 482 million computers will be shipped globally.

IDC reports that the Asia/Pacific region is still growing rapidly with 14% growth year-over-year in Q2 2008. Despite the 14% growth, that is a drop from 20% year on year gains for the last several years. That number seems to be indicative of the global economic woes that are hurting the PC industry as a whole.

Growth for the quarter in Western Europe was significant for Q2 2008 with an increase of 23% compared to growth of 12% in 2007. IDC specifically cites the Asus Eee PC as one of the contributing factors to the continued growth of the PC industry, consumer portables in Western Europe grew by a significant 60% over the same quarter in 2007.

The prediction form IDC is that increased adoption of low-cost notebooks by consumers will contribute to prices in the netbook segment dropping further and volume of sales will be boosted.

Loren Loverde, IDC Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker director said in a statement, "We continue to see a rapid transition to Portable PCs around the world, even as economic pressures rise. The trend reflects the increasing importance of computing, not just in the home or office, but as an integrated part of our lives. Falling prices, more design choice and competition for PC makers to capture this market continue to drive a rapid transition."

IDC reports that in 2007, shipments of portable computers in the U.S. totaled 30 million units. In 2008, shipments of portables are expected to hit 35.3 million. By the year 2012, U.S. shipments of portable computers are expected to hit 61.1 million units.

By comparison, for the U.S. in 2007, desktop and server computers sold 37 million units -- in 2008 35.5 million desktop and server systems are expected to be sold. By 2012, IDC expects desktop shipments to be 29.6 million units.

Looking at shipments on a global scale, the number of portable computers sold around the globe in 2007 was 108 million. In 2008, 148.2 million portables are expected to ship. By 2012, IDC predicts global port able sales will be 298.3 million units.

Desktop shipments on a global scale in 2007 were 161.1 million units. 163.2 million units are expected to ship in 2008 across the world. By 2012, IDC predicts desktop and x86 server shipments of 184.3 million units. Despite desktop sales in America falling, shipments are predicted to rise globally.



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cheap PC
By sgw2n5 on 9/11/08, Rating: 0
RE: cheap PC
By benx009 on 9/11/2008 4:57:38 PM , Rating: 2
You go to forum.notebookreview.com for asking that kind of question, not DT.


RE: cheap PC
By sgw2n5 on 9/11/08, Rating: 0
RE: cheap PC
By Clauzii on 9/11/2008 5:13:44 PM , Rating: 2
This one from HP with 3GB and 250GB disc and 17" widescreen looks nice, if $750,- is ok:

http://www.newegg.com/Product/Product.aspx?Item=N8...

from there search to your liking :)


RE: cheap PC
By Flunk on 9/11/2008 5:35:57 PM , Rating: 2
I was in the same boat as you until last September when I bought a laptop for the first time. Almost any notebook with at least 2GB of RAM will not have a problem in any deskop application (even the cheapest ones).

You don't necessarily have to pay a lot, just look for decent battery life, screen and overall build quality.

I have an HP dv2201 and it runs Vista and Linux confortably despite being preitty cheap.


RE: cheap PC
By Oregonian2 on 9/11/2008 6:13:53 PM , Rating: 2
Depends upon what you need and what you want. Goes from a very light weight (and light processing) under $400 netbook type notebook to the multi-kilobuck Apple one optioned up. Personally, for my wife I'm waiting for the availability of the 6-cell pink MSI Wind (few came through in late August, but missed those). An ultra-light of sorts for $550.


RE: cheap PC
By pauldovi on 9/11/2008 7:38:28 PM , Rating: 3
Thinkpad T400. Comes with a LED backlit screen, hybrid graphics that allows you to switch in real time between dedicated ATI graphics and integrated Intel graphics, high speed DDR3 memory, and a 25W processor.

Sure you can find something cheaper on Newegg, but Thinkpads will last you 10 years.


RE: cheap PC
By Clauzii on 9/15/2008 11:59:47 AM , Rating: 2
You forgot "..at least.." ;)


RE: cheap PC
By Murloc on 9/12/2008 1:41:50 PM , Rating: 2
a dell studio, or if you can afford it a XPS.


I feel I should know that, but
By Heyga4Huk on 9/12/2008 12:32:42 AM , Rating: 2
What is IDC?




RE: I feel I should know that, but
By Viditor on 9/13/2008 3:40:25 AM , Rating: 2
http://www.idc.com/

They track and analyze IT spending and manufacturing worldwide. They're one of a handfull of companies that determines the marketshare results for AMD and Intel.


Supply & demand
By crystal clear on 9/13/2008 9:36:06 AM , Rating: 2

The Taiwan-based firm’s chief financial wonk, Jackie Ding, told Bloomberg yesterday that laptop battery supply may hit its targets in the second quarter of 2009. Simplo had previously expected the shortage to end by the first quarter of next year.

In May contract laptop PC maker Compal Electronics Inc was forced to scale back its Q2 shipment growth forecast, blaming a shortage of batteries.

Earlier this year major computer vendors including Hewlett-Packard and Dell, grumbled about the kink in the supply chain, which was caused in part by a fire on 3 March at South Korea's LG Chem factory, where some laptop batteries are manufactured.

The industry has repeatedly warned that a worldwide shortage of laptop batteries would impact prices, shipments and sales.

Simplo chairman Sung Fu-hsang said at an investor conference in May that although the LG Chem blaze had put a dent in supplies, he expected to see the supply of lithium-ion return to a normal level in Q3, giving battery makers a much needed leg-up to significantly increase production.

Now Simplo, which late last month admitted that supply fell short of demand by 10 per cent in the second quarter, has been forced to adjust its outlook regarding the ongoing shortage.

http://www.channelregister.co.uk/2008/09/10/laptop...




RE: Supply & demand
By crystal clear on 9/13/2008 9:57:24 AM , Rating: 2
Point to note-

"The right way to gauge the success of consumer PCs is no longer the adoption rate of households with PCs, or even the number of PCs per household, but rather the number of machines per individual”.

The bad news for vendors will be that average prices will continue to slide, leaving them racing to stand still on revenues.

http://www.channelregister.co.uk/2008/09/11/idc_fo...

The bad news for vendors will be that supply of batteries ...where supplies cannot meet the demand.


Accuracy
By JustTom on 9/13/2008 5:46:54 PM , Rating: 2
Just out of curiosity has anyone ever done a study on just how accurate these predictions are? It seems to me they can throw numbers out and get press but very seldom do I see an article checking on these predictions...




RE: Accuracy
By icanhascpu on 9/15/2008 5:19:23 PM , Rating: 2
They are 86% correct


sexy huh?
By lagomorpha on 9/11/2008 8:38:22 PM , Rating: 2
"Low-cost portable notebooks and netbooks may not be the sexiest devices out there,"

The eee is the first piece of electronic equipment I've seen draw the attention of women (well other than the wii and certain other ahem appliances). Maybe it's just because the size is still so unusual or maybe small is sexy.




RE: sexy huh?
By exanimas on 9/12/2008 12:06:00 AM , Rating: 1
>>"or maybe small is sexy."

Just keep telling yourself that man, just keep telling yourself.


My CPU is hot
By icanhascpu on 9/12/2008 7:55:30 PM , Rating: 2
I'd like to try out her lowend port .. able.




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