A recurring theme in my past
columns is that a moderate degree of global warming is likely to
be beneficial to mankind. Al Gore, on the other hand, says climate
change is already causing catastrophic results. In testimony
before Congress last March, he stated, "droughts are [already]
becoming longer and more intense". But the findings
of a group of University of Wisconsin-Madison researchers say
The scientists, led by Gemma Narisma, examined 100 years of global
rainfall data. Using sophisticated wavelet analysis methods, they
identified 30 cases of severe droughts lasting 10 or more years. The
results showed the number of droughts dropping sharply over time.
From 1900-1920, seven droughts, another seven from from 1920-1940,
and eight from 1940-1960. But after that, the picture changes. In the
period 1960-1980, only five droughts were recorded, and from
1980-2000 (the warmest period of all), only three occurred.
Furthermore, of the most severe droughts, none began in the last 30
The researchers found another surprising result. Changes in
rainfall levels are not only much more common than previously
thought, but they tend to occur in a very abrupt, unexplained manner.
More proof that climate change is part of nature.
The work represents the first systematic survey of abrupt climate
changes that have occurred in recent history. Professor Johnathan
Foley, who also participated in the research, says the study is
important, "because previous work largely focused on ancient
climates or theoretical changes in future climates".The
findings are published in Geophysical Research Letters.
quote: It is unlikely to go too far in one direction.
quote: Why worry about things that are not under our (man's) control?
quote: I think claims of having to abandon "the entire coastline" of a nation are a bit over the top.
quote: If one looks at the overall history of the planet, permanent polar ice caps are a rare phenomena
quote: Do you suggest we should interfere with this natural process and prevent nature from taking its course?
quote: However, if you look at the history of the planet during which humans thrived, I think you'll find polar ice caps quite common.
quote: if you really cared about species and the planet, you'd be more concerned with pollution and habitat loss than anything.
quote: We know there was a mini ice age in Europe in the 1800's, and I'm sure there were animals that went regionally or totally extinct from that, and that wasn't human fault at all.
quote: Given that even the alarmist IPCC is predicting only a ~25 centimeter rise in sea level over the next 100 years, I think claims of having to abandon "the entire coastline" of a nation are a bit over the top.
quote: I HATE this argument, which someone always seems to make. The plague killing millions of people was a natural process, but no one is going to argue that we should let it go on. People change nature all the time for our own benefit.
quote: The plague killing millions of people was a natural process, but no one is going to argue that we should let it go on.
quote: It is very egotistical to think we aren't just another animal on this planet.
quote: We humans are the only ones to come up with all sorts of things
quote: Mother nature changes constantly, this destroys old species that can't adapt to make way for new species that can.
quote: Today humans can to some extent cheat the evolution system and provide vaccine's and technology to keep us alive even when naturally we would die.
quote: We may be capable of many things, but thinking you can beat mother nature is laughable at best.
quote: If global warming truly is happening