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PS2 showing no signs of slowing down despite being in its silver years
Mass market not ready for high-def gaming, says analysts

Before the two new console launches in November 2006, it was popular belief that supplies of the Nintendo Wii would be ample and consumers would be able to secure one without much hassle or worry. Today, a full five months following launch, Wiis are still hard to find, and those who do find them can resell them for a greater profit than the retailer.

According to one analyst’s opinion noted by Home Media Magazine, the demand for the Wii could outstrip supply all the way to 2009. “I believe the Wii will continue strong growth although supply continues to be a problem,” said Billy Pidgeon, video game analyst, IDC. “I’d like to see Wii hardware shipping in larger quantities or mass market consumers may cool on it. Having said that, I don’t believe supply will meet demand for the Wii until 2009.”

“Xbox 360 and PS3 need system-selling games ASAP. Halo 3 will help, as will Lair and Heavenly Sword, but that leaves a hole in Q2 which will be filled by Wii, DS and PSP hardware and software. We’ll also see more PC and PS2 software picking up the slack,” added Pidgeon.

Apparently he isn’t the only analyst who feels that the mass market isn’t quickly taking to high-definition gaming. Michael Pachter at Wedbush Morgan Securities thinks that the PlayStation 2 will remain a strong seller thanks to movie license games such as Spider-Man 3 and Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix.

“It still seems to be the year of the PS2,” said Pachter. “Notwithstanding all of the other choices, consumers keep buying PS2 games, with barely any drop off. Virtually all of the year-over-year growth is attributable to a slower than expected decline in PS2 software sales.”

These analyst comments came immediately following the release of March video game hardware and software sales figures from NPD, with a particularly strong showing for Nintendo DS and PlayStation 2.



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RE: I don't think so...
By AmpedSilence on 4/26/2007 9:37:56 AM , Rating: 2
I completely agree.... no analog signal != all HD signal.

But in my post i had referenced that as a catalyst to truly push the HD TV units into mainstream. When the analog tv stops working in 2009, there will be a large portion of the population that will go and get a new TV rather opting for the converter box. Considering last black friday Wal-mart was selling 32" LCD TVs for $499; you can get that same tv for $399 on outpost.com.

Fast Forward 2 years, is it unreasonable to assume that at that time a 42" plasma/LCD/DLP with 720p or 1080i (or even 1080p) capability will be that price? I don't think so. In fact, such a deal might already exist; i haven't researched.

So once that HD TV user base is installed, then people might truly consider HD gaming an option for the mainstream.

In addition, by that time there is a good chance that there will be a price drop for all systems in question. So, lower cost of entry and a TV to take advantage of the HD capability. Then the current HD systems will shine.

Lastly, i think addressed why PS2 was still having games produced for it. But i agree with you regardless.

Oh, and i think of everything i own my modded XBOX with XBMC gets more use than anything else!


"And boy have we patented it!" -- Steve Jobs, Macworld 2007

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