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PS2 showing no signs of slowing down despite being in its silver years
Mass market not ready for high-def gaming, says analysts

Before the two new console launches in November 2006, it was popular belief that supplies of the Nintendo Wii would be ample and consumers would be able to secure one without much hassle or worry. Today, a full five months following launch, Wiis are still hard to find, and those who do find them can resell them for a greater profit than the retailer.

According to one analyst’s opinion noted by Home Media Magazine, the demand for the Wii could outstrip supply all the way to 2009. “I believe the Wii will continue strong growth although supply continues to be a problem,” said Billy Pidgeon, video game analyst, IDC. “I’d like to see Wii hardware shipping in larger quantities or mass market consumers may cool on it. Having said that, I don’t believe supply will meet demand for the Wii until 2009.”

“Xbox 360 and PS3 need system-selling games ASAP. Halo 3 will help, as will Lair and Heavenly Sword, but that leaves a hole in Q2 which will be filled by Wii, DS and PSP hardware and software. We’ll also see more PC and PS2 software picking up the slack,” added Pidgeon.

Apparently he isn’t the only analyst who feels that the mass market isn’t quickly taking to high-definition gaming. Michael Pachter at Wedbush Morgan Securities thinks that the PlayStation 2 will remain a strong seller thanks to movie license games such as Spider-Man 3 and Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix.

“It still seems to be the year of the PS2,” said Pachter. “Notwithstanding all of the other choices, consumers keep buying PS2 games, with barely any drop off. Virtually all of the year-over-year growth is attributable to a slower than expected decline in PS2 software sales.”

These analyst comments came immediately following the release of March video game hardware and software sales figures from NPD, with a particularly strong showing for Nintendo DS and PlayStation 2.

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RE: I don't think so...
By darkpaw on 4/25/2007 5:11:31 PM , Rating: 2
The analog cut-off won't have a huge impact at all. It only means there won't be any more over the air analog TV broadcasts. Lets see, just how many people do you know that still use rabbit ears? I knew exactly one family, but even they got cable last year. My poor ass white trash sister even has cable.The new broadcasts are forced to be HD, they just have to be broadcast in the assigned spectrum for digital broadcast. (derail - Always hate saying digital broadcast.. anything thats sent OTA is analog, its the content thats digitally encoded - end derail)

That said, HDTV penetration rate has gone up from roughly 15% to just under 30% in the last year alone and it will keep rising (I'm one of those happy new owners). This is mostly due to the drop in the price of HD sets though. The rest of your points are all pretty good.

RE: I don't think so...
By dice1111 on 4/25/2007 10:03:48 PM , Rating: 3
My poor ass white trash sister even has cable.
Can I get her number?

RE: I don't think so...
By Alpha4 on 4/25/2007 10:22:01 PM , Rating: 2
Shit son. WTF did your sister do to earn your animosity? My heart goes out to her now, but I think I speak for many here when I say this kind of drama is best kept away from public eyes & ears...

RE: I don't think so...
By darkpaw on 4/26/2007 9:00:10 AM , Rating: 2
Nah, no animosity. My sister is great, just goin back to where I grew up is like visiting Kenny's house in South Park. Most people that live there never leave, I got the heck out soon as I could.

RE: I don't think so...
By MonkeyPaw on 4/26/2007 9:14:51 AM , Rating: 2
For the record, you now know 2 people who don't have cable. Ironically, I have an HDTV, but it's mainly for my Xbox360 and widescreen movie watching. I also pull HD signals down over-the-air, and it's mainly to watch sports in HD (mostly football, but MLB and golf are good, too). I also appreciate the space savings of my LCD TV. Cable is a waste of money to me. I'd rather be doing something else than to flip through 65-100 channels of programming that I'm not dying to see. I find that with cable, you settle for whatever is on, and pay $40-60/month for the priveledge. That's a new game every month if I really wanted. That's just my opinion, though. I'm sure most people find cable pretty valuable.

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