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Microsoft says that first month sales of Vista doubled those of XP

Microsoft is touting early sales figures for Windows Vista as testament to the operating system's new features and security enhancements. According to Microsoft, the sale of Windows Vista licenses more than doubled those of Windows XP during its first month of availability.

Windows XP managed to rack up 17 million licenses within its first two months of availability while Windows Vista hit 20 million within the first month. The numbers include licenses acquired by PC OEMs, retail copies sold in stores and upgrades ordered through the Windows Vista Express Upgrade Program.

"We are encouraged to see such a positive consumer response to Windows Vista right out of the gate," said Windows Business Group VP Bill Veghte. "While it’s very early in the product lifecycle, we are setting a foundation for Windows Vista to become the fastest-adopted version of Windows ever. Working with our partners, we are helping our customers leverage new tools and programs to accelerate the transition and provide a great user experience."

According to Michael Silver of Gartner Research, however, the fact that Windows Vista sales have doubled Windows XP sales shouldn’t come as much of a surprise. According to Silver, 52 million PCs were sold in 2002 – the first full year of Windows XP availability. Over 92 million PCs are expected to be sold in 2007.

Last month Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer was less optimistic about initial Vista sales citing increased piracy around the world. Ballmer noted that analysts were "overly aggressive" with their Vista sales forecasts.

Shortly after Ballmer's comments, Microsoft Chairman Bill Gates was more upbeat and stated that Vista had been "incredibly well received." Gates continued, "People who sell PCs have seen a very nice lift in their sales. People have come in and wanted to buy Vista."



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Unimpressive numbers and PR misinformation
By hergieburbur on 3/27/2007 5:35:53 PM , Rating: 3
The press release is so full of holes and misinformation, its not even funny.

For an in-depth analysis, see here: http://www.microsoft-watch.com/content/vista/stack...

But basically:
1) The PC market has about doubled since XP debuted, so this should be expected as a minimum, assuming it were true.

2) The XP numbers reflect actual units sold, the Vista numbers reflect the number of copies shipped to resellers, but not necessarily sold. Every copy and pre-loaded PC sitting at your local xxxx store is included in this count.

3) They are including all the XP sales with the redeemed upgrade certificate in this count, which means that instead of one month, its actually FOUR. So they are basically saying that Vista sold HALF as well as XP.

4) The numbers don't add up. Most analysts agree that only about 3 million PCs have been sold in the US so far THIS YEAR(3 months). The US is the largest PC market, and global figures likely wont make up the other 17 million. Considering about 80% of MS's OS sales are OEM, are we supposed to assume that millions people ran out and bought retail copies to make up the difference, even though all the evidence says otherwise?

All-in-all, this looks like a PR attempt to pull the wool over our eyes to the fact that Vista sales have been UNIMPRESSIVE when compared to XP. I think we will get a much clearer picture of how Vista is really doing in the coming months, once the pre-release upgrades are done and no longer being counted.




RE: Unimpressive numbers and PR misinformation
By eman 7613 on 3/27/2007 11:56:31 PM , Rating: 2
While that is incredibly biased it brings up a number of good points, the most of which is that compared to XP launched, Vista should have at least doubled based on the number of computers bought. Thus, excluding the increase of computers sold in the 6 year gap, the two are on equal grounds. In other words, any fidgeting M$ did to make vista sales more impressive means it is have a worse response in the market then XP did.


By hergieburbur on 3/28/2007 12:36:22 AM , Rating: 2
That particular article is a bit biased, but it is also not alone. I have seen several other across the web (some by more reputable sources such as AP) raising the same questions.

The simple fact is that the sales figures don't reflect one month (MS even says that). Further, sales to OEM channels DO NOT reflect market acceptance.

Finally, anyone who thinks the press release isn't skewed and biased in MS' favor is incredibly naive.


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