Something is happening in the gaming world that I never
expected – the Nintendo Wii is harder to find on store shelves than the Sony PlayStation
3. The news of PS3 was widespread, and Sony admitted that its machine would
likely be harder to find than a Tickle Me Elmo doll at the height of its
popularity.
Nintendo, on the other hand, boasted about its millions of
consoles that it planned to deliver. Gamers who weren’t able to preorder a Wii
figured that they would just have to wait until the second shipment before
casually walking into a store to pick one up. Gamers who preordered a PS3
mostly cashed in on eBay, earning up to thousands of dollars from the huge
demand and fear of the imminent shortage.
While PS3s are not even close to readily available, it seems
that finding a PS3 for sale is an easier task than locating a Wii – something that
is completely contrary to what most gamers were figuring before either console’s
launch.
Nintendo said prior to launch that it plans to ship four
million consoles before the end of the year, which it may or may not make
good on. Nintendo had to retract its commitment
of providing a million Wiis to North America, its largest market, during 2006.
In any case, Nintendo has sold more Wiis than Sony has sold PS3, and yet there
are more gamers with unsatisfied appetites for Wii.
I was lucky enough to score a Wii on launch day without
any time spent in line thanks to a preorder, but I had to stand outside my
local Best Buy on November 24 in the freezing cold for hours to get my PS3. On
my PS3 acquisition day, there were nine PS3s (all 60GB models) available and 59
Wiis. Those who weren’t in line four hours before store opening weren’t getting
a PS3. In contrast, those who arrived an hour before store opening managed to
get a Wii. On that day, the theory saying that getting a Wii would be fairly
easy compared to getting a PS3 held true.
The next big shipment and release of consoles hit my local
Best Buy on December 8, and just out of morbid curiosity, I again visited the
store four hours before store opening to survey the scene. (I would be lying if
the thought of getting another couple hot consoles hadn’t crossed my mind
though.) To my complete shock, the entire store perimeter was completely
surrounded by people camping out in hopes to get one of the new consoles.
To Best Buy’s credit, they had thoughtfully posted on its
doors the number of consoles that it expects to receive. For December 8, it was
23 PS3s (7 60GB and 16 20GB) and 24 Wiis. Yes, it was surprising to see that
PS3 numbers were as high as they were, and Wii numbers less than half of the
day that I camped out. Even with clear numbers posted, there were more people
waiting for the store’s opening than there were consoles. I couldn’t comprehend
why, so I asked them. (Click
here to see a video posted by one of the persons in the line.)
I haunted the line for a good 30 minutes, striking up
conversations with people at both ends of the line. The first three in line had
been there since the store closed the previous night at 9 p.m. and intended to
get a PS3. From that point on, the line was all for Wii. If you wanted a Wii
that morning, you had better be in the front half of the line. If you wanted a
PS3, you still had a pretty good chance even if you were in the latter half.
So what happened? We were all expecting the insane
PlayStation 3 demand to drive our country into anarchy for the rest of the
entire year (which it did on day one). Nintendo
completely stole Sony’s thunder, and then some – that’s what happened.
After comparing the population of gamers who lined up on
launch day, the second wave on November 24, and the recent release on December
8, it’s clear how the shift happened. In all the time leading up to launch and
a short period following, only hardcore gamers (and eBay profiteers) were tuned
into the buzz.
These hardcore gamers had great expectations for PS3, which
wasn’t misplaced as it is a wondrous example of technology, and thus were privy
to the reason to camp out for a console. Nintendo loyalists had their own
reasons to camp out, and anyone dedicated enough to brave the outdoors for a
single night had a very good chance of taking home a Wii.
Many who want a PS3 still are unable to find one, but their
numbers are completely eclipsed by the demand for Wii. What happened was that
shortly after launch, word got out about Wii. People with machines couldn’t
stop talking to their friends and coworkers about it. Family members,
non-gamers, tried it and then told their friends and coworkers. The media kept
on talking about it. People who never intended to buy a Wii in the first place
now entertained the thought of buying Nintendo’s new machine.
During my time in line at Best Buy on December 8, the
population of those wanting to buy a Wii was dramatically different from any
campout I’ve seen before. Instead of “gamer-looking types” (you know what I
mean), there were many more adults, most of them moms and dads looking to put
one under the tree. I spoke with a mother of three, who admitted that her kids
were still very young and didn’t know much about the latest gaming consoles,
and she said that she was buying the machine because she had heard from friends
and the media that it the Wii is something that anyone can enjoy. There were
more than 23 people in front of her, so she was taking a gamble on grabbing a
machine that day. Her kids weren’t demanding it – she said that she just wanted
to buy it because it was something her entire family can do together.
People with Wii played their machines, but a considerable
portion of PS3 owners still had their machines sitting in the box hoping to
strike it rich through a resale. Then, the tables turned. Supplies of PS3s
skyrocketed, and demand dropped, perhaps shifting over to Wii. Now, it seems
that it’s more difficult to find a Wii in stores than it is to get a PS3.
Online auction prices of PS3’s are at an all-time low, while
prices for a Wii are at an all-time high. I doubt that many people were buying
a Wii at launch just to put on eBay, but had someone decided to stockpile Wiis
instead of PS3, he or she would be seeing a much greater return on investment
at this very moment.
This editorial should not be taken as some sort of sign of
Sony defeat – far from it. Rather, this piece comments on Nintendo’s unexpected
victory. While launches are important, they are not critical to a console’s
success. Nintendo’s head start over Sony in terms of sales at this current
moment is insignificant compared to the user base that both consoles will
eventually end up having in a few years. (We’ll leave the Xbox 360 out of this
for now as it is under a different set of conditions). What Nintendo has going
for it right now is buzz. The entire world is enraptured by Wii and its
innovative way of playing. I’m not saying it’s a gimmick, because Nintendo has
proven that it knows how to deal with new ways to play (see: DS), but Wii
controllers are getting a lot of attention.
The gaming market is continuously growing, and if there was
enough room in the previous generation for all three consoles, then there
should be no reason to expect any different for this current generation.