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90% of new Windows consumer client installations to be Vista Home-based in 2007

Microsoft has lofty ambitions for its next generation Windows Vista operating system as witnessed by statements made by the company in early October. Today, IDC issued some new projections for Windows Vista including the notion that over 90 million units of the operating system will ship in 2007 worldwide. That figure far outpaces Microsoft's assessment of 67 million units in the first year of availability for Windows XP.

"After a long wait, the adoption of Windows Vista will take place almost immediately among consumers, while businesses will follow a decidedly more conservative adoption curve," says Al Gillen, research VP of System Software at IDC.

On the consumer side, Vista Home Basic is expected to garner 67% of Vista purchases while Vista Home Premium will account for 30%. The enthusiast-oriented Vista Ultimate will account for 2% of the product mix with just 1% of consumers choosing Vista Business for use in home deployments.

For businesses, Vista Business will account for 82% of Vista deployments while Vista Enterprise will capture the remaining 18%.

Overall, IDC projects that 90% of new Windows client installations for home users will be comprised of Vista Home Basic/Vista Home Premium during the first year. On the business side, Vista Business/Vista Enterprise will account for just 35% of new client installations during the first year – that number rises to 80% during the second year of availability.

But while consumers buying new PCs will pretty much be forced into using Windows Vista after the start of the year, businesses are likely to be a bit more discriminating. Businesses typically wait until at least the first service pack for a new Windows operating system is released before they do any large roll-outs throughout the company.

Gartner suggests that companies should spend as much as 18 months testing a new operating system before moving to large-scale deployments. With Vista being launched for businesses tomorrow, now is the time to begin the testing phase (if companies haven't already done so with earlier versions of Vista). "If companies do decide to upgrade the biggest barrier will be application compatibility - 80 per cent of your applications will work and 20 per cent won't work. The vast majority of customers we speak to are looking at 2008 to upgrade but they need to start planning now," said Frank Foxall of Windows migration specialist Camwood.

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RE: Meeting half way
By Rayz on 11/30/2006 3:40:58 AM , Rating: 5
I wouldn't label you as a fanboy, just uninformed. Unfortunately, a computer science minor and eighteen years as a Windows 'user' doesn't necessarily mean you know what you're talking about. Spending some time on Channel9 and listening to the arguments of people who really do know about Windows internals, would probably help out with this.

Your post is really just parroting what alot of other folk have been slashdotting for months. Congratulations, you've joined the biggest herd on the internet.

Windows has been secure since XP SP2; the problem has been that MS made it way too easy for their less experienced users to shoot themselves in the foot. A Firewall and a bit of common sense is all you need.

Hate to break it to those, but the PS3's 8 core CPU-that only uses 6 of them- is already outdate by Intel's latest offerings and Nvidia's new GPUs.

The fact that the PS3 doesn't use all the cores, has nothing to do with whether or not the Cell is better or worse than Intel/nVidia.

While I'm on the subject of Vista compared to OSX, I have to bring up the question as to why MS still even offers different premium prices for mildly altered versions of Vista? OSX has EVERYTHING in the same package, in fact the only different version of OSX is the OSX Server for obvious reasons. There's no Home Basic, Home Premium, Professional, etc. Seriously Microsoft where's the sense in continuing that trend?

OSX runs on a woefully small range of machines with a minimum specification defined by Apple. Vista has to run on machines ranging from UMPCs (don't ask me why) up to massive server clusters. An almost unlimited number of configurations that Microsoft has not even seen, let alone tested against. And let's not forget the small but extremely vocal group of hobbyists who like to build their own machines. So the different configurations are needed to make sure that folk aren't crippled by a minimum spec requirement.
Contrary to what you think, there are huge differences across the Vista line, some of which need a high end box to run on.

So why not just have a single pack at one price?
That is actually a very good question.
Here's my take.

Because people aren't that bright.

If you give them a single Ultimate package, they will attempt to install the whole thing on machines that couldn't pull the skin off a custard. Then they will complain that Vista is bloated and slow and the internet will clog up with the terminally clueless bleating the same nonsense. That would be bad.

Now, if MS prices the packages differently and sells them at different prices, then that will give people a mental clue that if they're going to fork out $399, then they'd better fork out for a computer that can match it. If you spend that much on an OS that comes in a nice dangerously black coloured box, then you are less likely to install it on that machine you gave your gran fifteen years ago.

OSX has EVERYTHING in the same package,

Except the ability to run on my choice of machine.
Actually Vista has everything in the same package too, you just don't know it.

RE: Meeting half way
By sviola on 11/30/2006 6:46:12 AM , Rating: 2
The fact that the PS3 doesn't use all the cores, has nothing to do with whether or not the Cell is better or worse than Intel/nVidia.

This is the only point worth disagreeing with you:

Both C2D and A64 are stronger processors than Cell, whose central unit is PowerMac.

The RSX is a 7900GTX modded chip and with the release of the 8800 family, you can say the PS3 graphics power is akin to the PC. This doesn't mean that the games on the PS3 will look worse than on a PC, as games are optimized for it's hardware, which in a PC they can't (although developers could release optimizing patches :) ). I think the PS3 will be successful in the long range, as the famous brands get released and the overall title quality improves.

RE: Meeting half way
By Clienthes on 11/30/2006 10:19:54 AM , Rating: 2
Your disagreement doesn't seem to have anything to do with what the previous poster said. He said that whether the cell used all the cores had no bearing on it's power relative to Intel/nVidia. This is a correct statement. Whether it uses one core or eight is related to, but not an indicator of, its performance relative to other processors.

Critical reading is a valuable skill.

RE: Meeting half way
By msva124 on 11/30/2006 6:54:45 PM , Rating: 2
You must not know about this thing in software called conditional statements.

if (machine is shitty)
install basic version
else if (machine is good}
install ultimate version

"Intel is investing heavily (think gazillions of dollars and bazillions of engineering man hours) in resources to create an Intel host controllers spec in order to speed time to market of the USB 3.0 technology." -- Intel blogger Nick Knupffer
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