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IDC says 2013 will be one of the worst years yet for PCs

IDC has issued its latest report looking at the state of the PC industry. The company predicts that PC shipments will fall by 10.1% in 2013. This will be the worst year of contraction on record if IDC is correct.
IDC says that interest in PCs is very limited, giving little indication of positive growth other than replacing of existing systems. IDC is also predicting that sales of PCs will decline an additional 3.8% in 2014 before getting a little more positive in the long term.
IDC predicts that total PC shipments for 2013 will be a bit over 300 million units. That is only slightly ahead of the volume of PCs shipped in 2008.
"Perhaps the chief concern for future PC demand is a lack of reasons to replace an older system," said Jay Chou, Senior Research Analyst, Worldwide Quarterly PC Trackers at IDC. "While IDC research finds that the PC still remains the primary computing device – for example, PCs are used more hours per day than tablets or phones – PC usage is nonetheless declining each year as more devices become available.”
“And despite industry efforts, PC usage has not moved significantly beyond consumption and productivity tasks to differentiate PCs from other devices. As a result, PC lifespans continue to increase, thereby limiting market growth."
IDC does believe that 2-in-1 devices that can function as tablets and notebooks will drive some growth for Windows devices. IDC also predicts significant growth for Windows-based tablets with 29.3 million units in 2017 up from 7.5 million in 2013.

Source: IDC

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RE: The Problem
By JediJeb on 12/4/2013 1:16:10 PM , Rating: 4
As with any technology, once you reach market saturation sales become based on maintenance and upgrade instead of adoption. If they don't break and there is no reason to upgrade, then sales are going to fall off. Same thing will happen with tablets once the market is saturated, they will need to have a major advantage to upgrading often or sales will fall off for those too.

Heck, my old AthlonXP computer at home still does all I need it to do, so unless I get into video editing or something that needs more power there is no reason to upgrade it. It started life as a PentiumII 300mhz and over about 5 years was turned into an AthlonXP 2400 going from 250MB ram to 2GB ram, that was back when fast paced changes were happening. How fast are things changing on a yearly basis now?

RE: The Problem
By Cypherdude1 on 12/4/2013 9:21:16 PM , Rating: 2
"Perhaps the chief concern for future PC demand is a lack of reasons to replace an older system," said Jay Chou, Senior Research Analyst, Worldwide Quarterly PC Trackers at IDC.
I built my own PC not long ago. I bought and assembled an i7, 16 GB desktop system. I plan to run a special calculation intensive application. It will have formulas which will run the CPU at 85% or above. You could never do that with a tablet or smart phone:

This Cyber Monday, I wanted to purchase 2 eVGA GTX770's but, for some reason, none of the eTailers are selling this card at nVidia's MSRP of $329:

I was hoping I could get a special for the GTX770's at $299 but it never happened. I wanted the GTX770's so I could use nVidia's CUDA-enabled GPU and Corel's VideoStudio X6 to render videos much faster than with just a CPU.

RE: The Problem
By robinthakur on 12/5/2013 11:58:26 AM , Rating: 2
I think laptop sales will curve downwards slower than traditional desktop PCs as they are at least more portable, even if they are noisy, fragile and heat up. Businesses have found out that you don't necessarily need to upgrade anymore as long as you don't install Microsoft's latest and greatest and games are now better handled by consoles and mobile which ensure that most people don't need those expensive new GPUs and CPUs. It's a perfect storm unfortunately...

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