Gartner Predicts Tablets Will Outsell PCs Within Four Years
April 4, 2013 6:14 PM
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Ultramobiles will start to catch on, but tablets and Android will steal the show
Gartner Inc. (
) a leading market research firm has
its latest predictions regarding device sales.
It notes that the total market for devices is expanding, with strong pickup in developing regions, such as China, India, and Brazil. It predicts 2.4 billion devices will be sold in 2013 -- up 9 percent from a year ago. Of those, 1.875 billion of them are expected to be smartphones.
Gartner predicts Android will crack the 1 billion unit mark next year. The predications indicate that Android leader Samsung Electronics Comp., Ltd. (
) may best its already bullish target of
390 million Android smartphones sold
in 2013. And it predicts in five years Apple, Inc.'s (
) iPhone and iPad (which run iOS) will sell half a billion units -- close to PC sales.
-- also known as ultrathin laptops or "UltraBooks" are predicted to account for over a fourth of PC sales within the next five years. However, that growth will not be enough to stop
tablets from outselling both ultramobiles and traditional laptop/desktops PCs
by 2017, according to Gartner.
Gartner predicts Android sales to near a billion units this year. [Image Source: AnandTech]
didn't do enough to convince Gartner of BlackBerry Ltd.'s (
) survival prospects. The agency predicts BlackBerry sales to continue their downward slide in years to come. Interestingly, Gartner predicts a strong showing from Microsoft Corp. (
) between 2014 and 2017. Although the press release did not elaborate on the basis of this prediction, Gartner's numbers show Microsoft growing as fast as Apple during that period, with both OS makers trailing Google Inc.'s (
) Android empire.
Microsoft has thus far
struggled in the tablet market
. While its Surface has drawn attention, it has
and only sold around 1.5 million units.
Microsoft is expected to return to strong growth in 2014. [Image Source: Microsoft]
Previous reports have indicated that this will be the
first year Android tablets will outsell iPads
Ranjit Atwal, research director at Gartner, comments on the declining role of the traditional PC, "Lower prices, form factor variety, cloud update and consumers' addiction to apps will be the key drivers in the tablet market. Growth in the tablet segment will not be limited to mature markets alone. Users in emerging markets who are looking for a companion to their mobile phone will increasingly choose a tablet as their first computing device and not a PC."
For Microsoft this news isn't great, but it's even worse for
PC holdouts like Dell
) who remain
without a cohesive mobile portfolio
This article is over a month old, voting and posting comments is disabled
4/5/2013 7:44:02 PM
I have been hearing about the decline in pc world for 10+ years and its still here, PC gaming has skyrocketed and will even get stronger as next gen consoles begin to use pc parts instead of dedicated hardware!
Tablets outsold pc's big deal so did jars of Vegemite for the last few decades. There is room for all of them and it should be like that, Choice is a good thing not everyone wants some friggin' tablet that will do everything. For me Games are on pc and sometimes console, Work/browsing is on pc, Tablets is for reading or having next to tv if I want to check up on something I have just watched, Phone is for stuffing around on in short periods of time such as lunch break at work, All of these devices have their place so stop saying "the death of pc" is imminent because it isn't!
These smaller devices are just an extension not a replacement to a pc, I think as tablets get to a stage where there is hardly anything new they can add except faster cpu and more ram that market will slow down in the next few years as well, Who needs 8 cores and 16gb of ram on a tablet just to browse web or read a book, Most will just stay with whatever tablet they already have until its so old the battery dies or the new ones are just so cheap that they may as well upgrade just for the sake of it. Tablets are a fad and will soon die down, Next tech to get excited about which will grow would be Virtual Reality headsets making a comeback, If you are an investor then forget tablets look to gaming's next big thing!
"You can bet that Sony built a long-term business plan about being successful in Japan and that business plan is crumbling." -- Peter Moore, 24 hours before his Microsoft resignation
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