ExxonMobil Energy Report: Diesel Fuel Will Overshadow Gas, CO2 Emissions to Drop 20 Percent
March 12, 2013 11:46 AM
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These are just a couple of figures in ExxonMobil's insight through 2040
said it plans to invest $185 billion in energy projects over the next five years, and has given its insight on what the future of energy looks like through 2040.
ExxonMobil has released its report, "The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040," which takes a look at some
and predictions for the coming decades.
The report sees the global population increasing from 7 billion people today to about 9 billion in 2040. With this population bump, energy demand will grow 35 percent worldwide (65 percent in developing nations alone compared to 2010).
The report said automotive technology like hybrid cars are expected to keep global personal transportation energy demands steady for the most part. By 2025, it sees full hybrid prices coming down and these types of vehicles accounting for 40 percent of the global vehicle fleet by 2040. However, plug-in hybrids and electrics will likely only make up five percent of the market by 2040.
Vehicles will move away from gasoline as the No. 1 transportation choice thanks to tech like light-duty engine efficiency, and see an increase in diesel fuel instead. In fact, diesel will make up 70 percent of fuel demand growth through 2040.
in OECD countries will be 20 percent lower in 2040 than 2010.
Also due to the population increase, electricity generation will be in great demand over the decades. In fact, ExxonMobil says it will account for more than half of the increase in global energy demand (electricity demand alone will grow 85 percent from 2010 to 2040). Electricity and natural gas will account for more than 60 percent of the world's residential/commercial energy demand by 2040 as cleaner fuels are used.
Oil will remain the No. 1 global fuel while natural gas steals coal's spot for second place. The report said coal will peak, and then decline as nuclear power and renewable energy grows. Oil and gas will supply about 60 percent of the global energy demand in 2040 (a 55 percent increase from 2010).
At 2040, North America will likely go from net importer to net exporter of oil. With growing demand and an evolving energy landscape, more global trade opportunities will arise.
A couple of other highlights include a 50 percent increase in energy demand for chemical production, and nuclear/natural gas generation in non OECD countries will increase by 150 percent.
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What ExxonMobil is saying is...
3/13/2013 2:34:06 AM
...that they are going to continue to rape consumers, especially Diesel consumers, as much as possible for the next 30+ years - bacause they can.
Diesel engines are not more expensive to produce than equal quality gas engines. Diesel fuel is not more expensive to produce than gasoline. There is no shortage of crude oil or gasoline. You can buy all you want for $5/gal. in the U.S. or higher elsewhere where local taxation increases the price.
The only reason gasoline prices are this high is because consumers pay these prices. If consumers stopped buying fuel for 2 weeks every storage facility on the planet would be over-flowing and the price of gasoline would drop to record low prices.
Most people have never taken an economics class in their life and they don't understand the laws of supply and demand do work - if you work them. The oil companies are using these laws to exploit you.
The sad reality is that most people live too comfortably and they are unwilling to experience a short term inconvenience for long term lower energy prices. The oil companies understand this and use it for price gouging. THAT is why they can rape the public and get away with it. Stupidity abounds in the consumer segment of society.
RE: What ExxonMobil is saying is...
3/13/2013 4:33:06 PM
Wow. You really should take one of those Econ classes you talk about.
So, people stop buying fuel, and then prices collapse. Got it. But you're oblivious to part two of that situation. When people start buying fuel again, everything reverts to how things were before.
And yeah, the oil companies are "using" the law of supply and demand. We all are. It's not good and it's not bad. It just is.
Finally, I am impressed that you are so brilliant in multiple areas that you can claim with certainty that (a) diesel fuel is no more expensive to produce than gasoline and (b) ditto for diesel versus gas engines. You could teach Detroit a thing or two.
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