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These are just a couple of figures in ExxonMobil's insight through 2040

ExxonMobil said it plans to invest $185 billion in energy projects over the next five years, and has given its insight on what the future of energy looks like through 2040.

ExxonMobil has released its report, "The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040," which takes a look at some energy challenges and predictions for the coming decades.

The report sees the global population increasing from 7 billion people today to about 9 billion in 2040. With this population bump, energy demand will grow 35 percent worldwide (65 percent in developing nations alone compared to 2010).

The report said automotive technology like hybrid cars are expected to keep global personal transportation energy demands steady for the most part. By 2025, it sees full hybrid prices coming down and these types of vehicles accounting for 40 percent of the global vehicle fleet by 2040. However, plug-in hybrids and electrics will likely only make up five percent of the market by 2040.

Vehicles will move away from gasoline as the No. 1 transportation choice thanks to tech like light-duty engine efficiency, and see an increase in diesel fuel instead. In fact, diesel will make up 70 percent of fuel demand growth through 2040.

CO2 emissions in OECD countries will be 20 percent lower in 2040 than 2010.


Also due to the population increase, electricity generation will be in great demand over the decades. In fact, ExxonMobil says it will account for more than half of the increase in global energy demand (electricity demand alone will grow 85 percent from 2010 to 2040). Electricity and natural gas will account for more than 60 percent of the world's residential/commercial energy demand by 2040 as cleaner fuels are used.

Oil will remain the No. 1 global fuel while natural gas steals coal's spot for second place. The report said coal will peak, and then decline as nuclear power and renewable energy grows. Oil and gas will supply about 60 percent of the global energy demand in 2040 (a 55 percent increase from 2010).

At 2040, North America will likely go from net importer to net exporter of oil. With growing demand and an evolving energy landscape, more global trade opportunities will arise.

A couple of other highlights include a 50 percent increase in energy demand for chemical production, and nuclear/natural gas generation in non OECD countries will increase by 150 percent.

Source: ExxonMobil



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RE: Well, duh!
By kleinma on 3/12/2013 4:47:29 PM , Rating: 3
I don't think the exxon report is being optimistic. It is just how they are showing the numbers:

quote:
In fact, diesel will make up 70 percent of fuel demand growth through 2040.


the key word there is growth. It isn't saying that 70 percent of fuel demand will be for diesel, it is saying that from now until 2040, 70% of the ADDITIONAL fuel needed versus what is currently being produced will be diesel. We would need to see gas vs diesel figures for today to see how level that 70% of growth demand makes the playing field. If currently they are refining 3 to 4 times the amount of gas as they are diesel right now, then gas would still be number one in overall consumption.


RE: Well, duh!
By maugrimtr on 3/13/2013 10:15:12 AM , Rating: 2
The numbers are not US based. The diesel growth may well occur in the rest of the world where the efficiencies have not been taxed out of existence.


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