Print 118 comment(s) - last by christojojo.. on Jan 30 at 7:49 PM

James Hansen puts an interesting spin on reports of the ninth warmest year on record

2012 was a kind of glass-half full, glass half-empty year in terms of global temperature.  

I. Climate Chief: Don't Worry, We're Still Doomed

The National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) in-depth analysis of satellite and other forms of climate data ruled the year was the ninth warmest on record.  The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) independent analysis of ground and sea-based climate stations reported that the year was the tenth warmest on record.

The NASA report states that the average global temperature was 58.3 degrees Fahrenheit (14.6 Celsius), which is 1.0 F (0.6 C) warmer than the mid-20th century baseline, or 1.4 F (0.6 C) warmer than the earliest comprehensive observations from the 1880s.

Still, the year marks the fifth year of a relative flatline in global temperatures after a decade in which the record was regularly broken.

Global warming proponents like James Hansen, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, blame this deviation from their "doomsday" calculations on a specialized cooling phenomenon called "La Nina", which lowers temperatures in the Eastern Pacific.

Surface temperatures
Despite flat-lining surface temperatures over the last five years, some climate researchers insist we're headed to doomsday warming and should keep our fingers on the panic button.
[Image Source: GISS]

The climate official claims that aerosols, which reflect solar radiation, also had a cooling affect on temperatures.

Mr. Hansen argues that the public shouldn't just look at the numbers, but look at more nebulous and abstract observations, which he sees as supporting his beliefs of runaway warming.  He writes, "The observant person who is willing to look at the past over several seasons and several years, should notice that the frequency of unusual warm anomalies has increased and the extreme anomalies."

He and other global warming advocates have pointed to the summer's drought in central North America and high temperatures in the Rocky Mountains as such "extreme anomalies".  

II. A Hot Year for the U.S., Arctic, but a Cool One Elsewhere

2012, according to a separate NOAA report, was the hottest year on record for the U.S. The year did mark a new low for summer Arctic sea ice, according to NASA.  However, that could bring some benefits for mankind, such as opening up oil resources.

NOAA map
Parts of the globe cooled, others warmed in 2012. [Image Source: NOAA]

And temperatures for the year were actually cooler than average in several regions -- Alaska, far western Canada, central Asia, parts of the eastern and equatorial Pacific and parts of the Southern Ocean.

California meteorologist Anthony Watts, a known critic of doomsday predictions from folks like James Hansen, casts the U.S.'s record year in a different light, commenting, "If anything, U.S. temperatures are warming at a slower rate in recent decades compared to the early warming period, even with all of that lovely warm weather last year."

He points out that the recent increase (1980-2012) in U.S. surface temperatures was dwarfed by a sharp rise between 1919-1934, which was followed by a period of cooling.

In a follow-up piece, he argues the overall flatline may indicate that natural forces (including in a cooling direction) have a greater impact on global temperatures than human ones, based on his independent analysis over the last half decade.

Sources: NASA, NOAA, Jame Hansen [note]

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This article is over a month old, voting and posting comments is disabled

By christojojo on 1/16/2013 8:50:01 PM , Rating: 2
could global warming be true...maybe.

should global warming be treated as absolute law....No

The data and the scare are too closely linked to politicians who do no take to anything that does not benefit them. That scares lots of people (yes a generalization.)

AS for the motives to prove and disprove this my Professor long long ago has said and I have heard elsewhere since, follow the money.

By connor4312 on 1/16/2013 9:28:53 PM , Rating: 4
On the same logic of "follow the money" one could just as easily conclude - and people have - that NASA's landing on the moon, Mars, etc. have been faked in order to bring money for them.

By christojojo on 1/17/2013 9:15:06 PM , Rating: 2
Actually the money in The lunar landings was government paying the bill for research and tool development and the search for viable materials. R&D was not affordable with so many smaller companies they had back then either.

The other thing was the first to go some where was highly marketable. Obviously you haven't had your Wheaties lately.

The US would not have gone to the moon if some advantage was not perceived.

By ppardee on 1/22/2013 5:39:12 PM , Rating: 2
I know I'm late on this, but we can prove we've been to the moon. We left a reflector on the surface and you can bounce a laser off of it.

You can't prove that AGW is a real thing no matter how many lasers you have.

By christojojo on 1/30/2013 7:49:02 PM , Rating: 2
lol yet you can warm the globe with ENOUGH lasers.

By FaaR on 1/16/2013 10:02:43 PM , Rating: 2
Follow the money eh? Maybe you should take some of your own advice and check which entities exactly fund all the anti-warming FUD campaigns. Pretty much without exception, you'll find it's the oil, gas and coal industries, and/or people or organizations with ties to the oil, gas and coal industries.

Funny how that turns out, eh. But yeah, I'm sure that's just coincidences as well, like with all those chart-topping warm years we've been having since the beginning of the 80s.

"Spreading the rumors, it's very easy because the people who write about Apple want that story, and you can claim its credible because you spoke to someone at Apple." -- Investment guru Jim Cramer

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