EV Industry Faces Hard Times, Slowed Adoption
October 18, 2012 9:45 PM
comment(s) - last by
Cost, charging infrastructure and battery concerns are all reasons for the slowed adoption
Electric vehicles (EVs) are not taking off quite as expected, and if sales numbers don't start turning around, this could spell long-term trouble for the industry, according to a new report from
The Detroit News
Back in 2009, the Obama administration awarded $2.4 billion in stimulus grants for EVs and advanced batteries. The investment seemed promising, since gas costs continued climbing. Who wouldn't want an EV in the days of paying $5 per gallon?
The answer is, apparently, most people. Pushing EV adoption has been difficult for a few reasons, including cost (despite huge
federal tax credits and incentives
, EVs are more expensive than gas vehicles), slow deployment of charging infrastructure and battery worries.
Right now, the federal tax credit is $7,500 per EV in the U.S. President Barack Obama has proposed upping this figure to $10,000 in order to make EVs more affordable. He also proposed a $1 billion budget for speeding up EV deployment and charging infrastructure in 15 communities.
Despite these efforts, and the fact that EVs can lessen the U.S.' dependence on foreign oil and reduce global warming, there was one issue that likely scared many customers off: lithium ion battery problems.
One such instance was the
Chevrolet Volt's battery fire
in May 2011, where a
Chevrolet Volt underwent a series of tests at the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) facility in Wisconsin. Three weeks after a side-impact crash test on May 12, the Volt caught fire while parked in the testing center.
Fisker Automotive has
recalled its EV batteries for the Karma
due to recent troubles, and the Nissan Leaf recently
experienced some issues with
the Arizona heat
2012 Chevrolet Volt plug-in and 2012 Nissan Leaf sales have been all over the map over the past year. In 2011, 7,671 Volts were sold while 9,674 Leafs were sold. From January to September 2012, Leaf sales dropped to 5,212 while Volt sales jumped to 16,348.
The Detroit News
, this is because the Volt has an auxiliary gas engine that kicks in when the battery is drained. To some degree, it still relies on gas, and the U.S. just isn't ready to take gas completely out of the equation yet.
Nissan hoped to sell 20,000 Leafs this year, but clearly, that is unlikely to happen.
A recent hit to the EV industry was
A123 Systems' bankruptcy filing
earlier this week. A123 made EV batteries and developed advanced battery technology.
There are some bright sides to the EV industry, though. Ford just added
60 new EV engineers
and doubled in-house battery testing, and
Toyota is talking plans for new EVs
The adoption of EVs may just take some time, and could likely get a boost in the coming years as the CAFE standards for gas-powered vehicles continues to increase. The Obama administration just recently finalized
the 54.5 MPG CAFE standards
for 2017-2025 model years.
The Detroit News
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EVs vs Gasoline
10/20/2012 6:30:19 PM
(1) Less range
(2) Less power
(3) More expensive
(4) Lots of heavy metals/toxic chemicals
(5) Heavier curb weight
(6) Potentially dangerous in a crash
(7) Massive expense when the batteries inevitably fail
(8) Still uses fossil fuels in order to recharge (half of electricity comes from coal/petro)
You can't replace a good product with an inferior product and expect people to adopt it. Unless there's a massive change in batteries & how we get electricity - EV's are a dead end road.
RE: EVs vs Gasoline
10/23/2012 2:22:45 AM
Less range - true, but most commutes are are less than 40 miles.
Less Power -meh. debatable. and not really important.
More expensive - Debatable. Fewer repairs and maintenance.
Lots of heavy metals and toxic chem. -Total BS. try breathing Gasoline or crude oil. Lithium is the lightest metal there is.
Heavier curb weight- More BS. I own 2. One is 2300 pounds.
Dangerous in a crash - What isn't? I'd rather be in an EV than a Gas Bomb! I see cars catching fire every day. But people are numb to that.
Massive expense When batteries Fail - More BS. My most recent Gas Bomb needed $6K for a new transmission at 100K miles. And when you do replace the batteries, they will be more energy dense as the tech. improves.
Still uses Fossil Fuel. Maybe, but could also use solar, geothermal, wind, hydro, nuclear, and it's 85%+ efficient. ICE engines max out at 20% on a good day. Most fossil fuel energy is lost in heat.
When gas supplies run out (and they will) or get to $10/gallon like some part of the world, you will be begging for EV's; new battery tech or not.
"What would I do? I'd shut it down and give the money back to the shareholders." -- Michael Dell, after being asked what to do with Apple Computer in 1997
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