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Sea ice extent in the Arctic fell to 483,000 square km (186,000 square miles) on August 13, a new record

The Arctic Ocean is feeling hot, hot, hot, says new report released by the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center. 
According to the report, sea ice extent in the Arctic dropped to a record low on August 13, and will continue dropping to new record lows by the end of the month. 
Sea ice extent, which measures the amount of sea ice remaining in the ocean, fell to 483,000 square km (186,000 square miles) on August 13. This was a dip from the previous record low on the same date back in 2007. 
But that's not the end of it. The Arctic sea ice is expected to continue melting through mid to late September, but more record lows have been predicted for the end of this month.
"A new daily record would be likely by the end of August," said Ted Scambos, lead scientist at the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center. "Chances are it will cross the previous record while we are still in ice retreat."
The news of a new record hasn't surprised many among the environmental community. This may be because the Arctic neared record lows last year, according to climate physics Professor Seymour Laxon from University College London. It almost seemed inevitable that this would happen at some point. "Rapid" melting occurred in June of this year as well with 100,000 square km melting daily.
However, Laxon worries that this rate of melting will adjust the prediction for an ice-free Arctic in summer. Previous reports estimated that the Arctic will have an ice-free summer in 2100 based on melting at that time, but when the 2007 low hit, this estimate was brought to the 2030-2040 range. Scientists are now concerned that this year's lows will bring that date even closer, which is problematic because the melting of sea ice means warming of the oceans. Sea ice keeps the Earth's temperature controlled.  
Global warming always seems to be a hot topic (pun intended). A recent controversial report released by James Hansen at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies claimed that global warming has caused hotter summers since 1980, but many question the merit of his opinions based on his position on climate change. 

Source: BBC News

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RE: On the bright side
By RufusM on 8/22/2012 10:18:21 AM , Rating: 0
This is the distinction between weather and climate.

Weather is short terms variations that can fluctuate greatly day to day, month to month or year to year.

Climate is long term averages of weather and long term trends.

There is much debate is over what is a meaningful length of time to qualify as quality climate measurement.

RE: On the bright side
By RufusM on 8/22/2012 10:25:24 AM , Rating: 2
I'll add that no climatologist worth their salt is going to try to predict the weather or climate. They can only say: Given conditions a, b and c we expect that the climate will be about x around y date. They cannot predict with any accuracy whether they will be true at that date or not.

Predicting weather and climate are fraught with problems since there are so many unknowns past a future date. The systems are so complex that unforeseen events, cause and effect, etc. are not likely to be predicted.

RE: On the bright side
By KoS on 8/22/2012 10:43:02 AM , Rating: 2
You are correct sir!

I was just bringing up that people(AGW types) are pointing to this summer and saying it fits into the overall predicitions of man-made global warming. Only a part of the summer has fit the story, while the remainder of the summer has refuted that idea.

Also I agree with your statement on climatologists. Too many thou have opened their mouth, to the public.

I find it funny we have problems accurately predicting weather days, weeks or months ahead of time. Yet we are suppose to believe people can predict the climate years, decades from now.

RE: On the bright side
By RufusM on 8/22/2012 11:09:39 AM , Rating: 2
You bet! It seems every time a warm spell comes along, it's all about global warming. When a cold spell comes along no one says anything.

It's the mindset of paying attention to what reinforces a person's beliefs and not challenging them.

RE: On the bright side
By MozeeToby on 8/22/2012 12:03:38 PM , Rating: 2
That's because it's statistics, not any one day. Statistically, the number, size, and severity of 'extreme weather events' (drought, heatwave, etc) was very, very high this year. It is statistically unlikely that those events would have occurred if the global climate was unchanged from 20 years ago. But again, that's statistically unlikely. Until the statistics pile up for a few more years there is still some question to the numbers but a cold, wet august isn't going to be enough to erase the outlier from the pool.

RE: On the bright side
By KoS on 8/22/2012 1:00:21 PM , Rating: 2
I find it interesting you use the 20 year mark.

The lack of rain and high heat the first two months of summer. This is the first time since 88 have we had such a hot and dry period in those two months. Just over 20 years ago.

Ahh yes the summer of 88, the same summer Hansen's little dog and pony show before Congress.

Our August, is the wettest and coolest since 93.

So called extremee weather events have happened before and will happen again and again and again....

RE: On the bright side
By Manch on 8/22/2012 5:06:12 PM , Rating: 2
Didn't something happen in the summer of 69 too?

RE: On the bright side
By KoS on 8/23/2012 8:20:46 AM , Rating: 2
Yes, yes it did! But then would you know? I don't know you! :)

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