Print 48 comment(s) - last by Belard.. on Jul 1 at 5:53 AM

Is this the end?

Analysts were predicting a small loss from embattled Canadian smartphone maker Research in Motion, Ltd. (TSE:RIM); a loss that they concluded would drive the company closer to a likely sale in 2013.  But the analyst consensus of a $0.03 USD per share loss on $3.1B USD revenue went from seeming gloomy, to seeming downright flowers and roses compared to RIM's actual financials.

I. RIM Reports Horrifying Financials

RIM reported [PDF] an abysmal $2.8B USD in revenue an a lost of $0.30 USD per share.  The loss is RIM's second straight quarter of escalating money bleeding.

RIM, which employs approximately 16,500 people worldwide, also committed to layoffs of 5,000 employees, or roughly 30 percent of its workforce.  That will leave RIM with just over 10,000 employees globally -- about half of its peak workforce of 20,000 in 2009.

RIM Sign
RIM is laying off almost a third of its employees. [Image Source: BGR]

The jobs cuts were much worse than the expectation -- 2,000 layoffs.  RIM had announced that layoffs would indeed be coming weeks ago, but it held off on sharing exact numbers.  It's unfortunate to see exactly how deep RIM is cutting to try to save the ship, but it's perhaps understandable given how much worse than expected the financials were.

While RIM clings to a dwindling number of large enterprise users, the root of its problem was plunging sales of BlackBerry smartphones.  RIM mustered only 7.8 million units sold, down over 40 percent from last year's numbers [PDF] (13.2 million).  Sales of the PlayBook tablet plunged to 260,000 amid RIM's cut of its most popular SKU.  That marks almost a 50 percent drop from last year's sales of 500,000 units.

Ex-RIM CEO Mike Lazardis's 2009 quote to Fortune during the peak of RIM's success is looking more and more like a warning to future CEOs on the perils of mismanagement -- "Sometimes we have to put the brakes on.  We've shown that we can handle annual 100% growth. I'm not sure we could handle more than that."

Every part of RIM is shriveling and dying, from its supply chain to its business user-base, to its consumer pull.

II. BB 10 Gets Delayed, End is Nigh for RIM

But that's not even the bad news.  RIM also offered this jewel in its earnings report:

BlackBerry 10 smartphone launch now scheduled for Q1 of calendar 2013.

In other words, everyone's favorite vaporous smartphone platform has been bumped yet another half year.  

RIM London
BB10 has been bumped to 2013  -- if RIM makes it that long. [Image Source: NeoWin]

To put this in context, RIM bought QNX in April 2010, with the intention of using it as a replacement for its current smartphone operating system.  In a market that moves like lightning RIM's fumbling executive ranks have managed to take nearly 3 years to turn this gifted wrapped platform into product.  In other words, what should have been a chip shot was turned into a Hail Mary due to pure, unadulterated incompetence.

RIM over the last year has made a sad joke of itself, with its faked "flash mob" protests at Apple, Inc. (AAPL) stores in Australia and its new chief executive's arrogant attacks on the world's most used smartphone platform, Google Inc.'s (GOOG) Android.  Apparently somewhere along the way RIM forgot that Google and Apple each and every year deliver something that it does not -- actual operating system product.

Or perhaps RIM was too busy courting business users with Saturday morning cartoon characters to notice.

Analyst predict more destruction for the RIMdenburg.
[Image Source: Jason Mick/DailyTech LLC]

Regardless, if there's one thing that's clear it's that a sale of RIM is likely coming soon.  It seems unlikely that RIM will survive to see its ever-slipping operating system arrive.  

Investors will surely be eager to salvage what little they can from the company.  The company does have some decent assets -- namely its large intellectual property portfolio, its recognizable business brand, and its superb physical keyboard mastery.

It would be relatively shocking if RIM is not put on the auction block before the year's end.

Source: RIM

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RE: QNX is a terrible idea
By jimbojimbo on 6/29/2012 10:24:52 AM , Rating: 1
Often I disagree with you but I do agree on this point. Everyone that complains about Playbooks have never used one. I got to play with one during their release party and I thought at that time it was probably the best tablet out there in pure performance and multitasking capabilities. Too bad it lacked a lot of significant features at the time.

RE: QNX is a terrible idea
By retrospooty on 6/29/2012 10:52:59 AM , Rating: 2
Yup. QNX looks like a great OS with a TON of potential. The sad thing is that RIM is floundering like Palm did with webOS.

Hopefully whoever buys RIM can execute better (cant possibly be worse) and keeps the OS alive.

RE: QNX is a terrible idea
By Belard on 6/30/2012 3:54:42 AM , Rating: 2
Nope... like WebOS, BeOS, AmigaOS, OS/2, TOS, etc... there comes a point where its not worth investing time, energy and money. Look at Linux how it has very little desktop marketshare, yet it has a rather large techie user-base.

Part of the reason for that is MANY (not all) Linux users want to keep it that way.

Best thing RIM can do is continue to sell QNX in the special markets it has been handling for years.

RE: QNX is a terrible idea
By retrospooty on 6/30/2012 9:03:08 AM , Rating: 2
I agree, its not likely, but it would be nice. I hate to see another good OS go away.

RE: QNX is a terrible idea
By Belard on 7/1/2012 5:53:46 AM , Rating: 2
QNX itself is not going away. Its an awesome little OS... you can get it for free. I think it still fits on a floppy (okay, it used to).

Even when/if RIM dies, QNX is a subsidiary and can be sold-off intact.

BB10... hasn't seen the light of day, we have an idea of what it looks like with the playbook.

I felt sorry for Palm/WebOS... it was a promising platform. HP screwed the pooch on that one. But IT also shows the difficulty of bringing in ANOTHER OS type device to market.

I think the build and ergonomics on BB devices are top notch. But it needs a modern OS on it yesterday.

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