Analysts: "RIM’s Death Spiral" Hits the "Third Inning"
June 28, 2012 1:05 PM
comment(s) - last by
(Source: Business Development)
Trainwreck is expected to continue in coming quarters until company hits a fire sale; stock is at 9 yr. low
Research in Motion, Ltd. (
) has been circling the drain for some time now, between
falling market share
BlackBerry 10 platform
that's taken nearly two and a half years to bring to market, and
. Long profitable, the company posted its
first operating loss
in many years last quarter.
Now as RIM's earnings report nears, analysts are lining up to predict a bloodbath.
Wedge analyst Brian Blair is among the majority predicting a
forced fire sale
We see a steep drop off in revenues and units near term, punctuated by a drop in subscriber adds, and an OS refresh that is largely ignored by carriers and consumers alike, driving RIM into a forced sale in 2013.
This is going to be the third inning of RIM’s death spiral.
A year ago RIM earned $1.33 USD per share on revenue of $4.9B USD. This quarter it's expected to circle down to a loss of $0.03 USD per share on revenue of $3.1B USD.
As bad as the numbers may look for June it's expected to get much worse for the second quarter, which will be reported in August. Jefferies analyst Peter Misek told
All Things Digital
, "It’s going to be terrible with a scoop of worse for August."
Analyst predict more destruction for the Rimdenburg.
[Image Source: Jason Mick/DailyTech LLC]
no real viable product
on the smartphone market, RIM is expected to plummet further as it tries to
peddle its defunct BlackBerry 7 operating system
in the face of Samsung Electronics Comp., Ltd.'s (
blockbuster Galaxy S III
and Apple, Inc.'s (
sixth generation iPhone
In other words, as bad as it is now, it's likely to get far worse for RIM soon. Don't be surprised if RIM's
retreats back into their
Saturday morning cartoon fantasy
land amid this grim dose of reality.
All Things D
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RE: I don't get it.
6/28/2012 11:39:26 PM
First, you're being very optimistic. I predicted over 2 years ago (yes, tooting my own horn) that RIM was going to die, and die faster than anybody predicted, now, I'm starting to wonder if they are even trying...I think they are aware that it's over at this point, and are trying too spin things as well as possible for suitors.
In any case, even if you're correct, it's very difficult to stay in the market, even in your own niche, against players like Apple and Google, if you've got a tiny market. With limited resources, you'll fall behind every month.
Moreover, if you don't think going from the Blackberry empire to no "significant market share" IS death, then you're operating with different definitions than most people.
"Folks that want porn can buy an Android phone." -- Steve Jobs
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