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AT&T may not have been kidding when they said this launch would beat the iPhone; key driver is "free" price

I joined the pre-order fest of Nokia Oyj.'s (HEL:NOK1V) Lumia 900 over the weekend.  I preordered Saturday, not long after the preorder -- and $100 off -- deal went live.

Sadly! I received the following email later that day from AT&T:

The items in your order are currently out of stock and will be shipped when inventory becomes available. When the items in your order ship, we'll send you an email with the ship tracking number(s).

Now I'm assuming that Nokia and its U.S. carrier partner, AT&T, Inc. (T), has a large stock of Lumia 900s, given that they've had months to prepare, and that they're saying this launch will be bigger than any iPhone launch to date.

Operating under this assumption, the sold out status indicates that the demand for the Lumia 900 is very high -- likely in the millions of units.  Looks like Microsoft Corp.'s (MSFT) big investment in Nokia is finally paying dividends.  This should be a big boost to Windows Phone's market share.

If the above hypothesis is correct, AT&T might not have been kidding when they said this would be there biggest smartphone launch ever.  For myself and fellow wait-listed preorder customers, it's a bit disappointing, but I'm hopeful it will be worth the wait.  

I will update you with an article about my impressions on the phone and discussing the experience of switching from Android to Windows Phone, when I receive my unit.



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RE: Driving force
By JasonMick (blog) on 4/4/2012 3:28:16 PM , Rating: 3
quote:
Technology? This phone boasts modest technology and a screen resolution that was outdated a year ago. I'm not sure how you can say technology doesn't matter here.

The GPU and screen resolution are a bit on the light side, but one thing you are forgetting is that the vast majority of apps played by people -- including games -- underutilize the most powerful of smartphone GPUs. Even for the iPhone, maintain compatibility with the iPhone 3GS, iPhone 4 is a key goal of game devs, hence HD versions while becoming more common are still somewhat rare -- likewise for Android.

The thing has a great looking camera, on the other hand. I'd rather trade playing apps in 800x480 (vs. 960x640 on iPhone) with a great camera versus being able to play ever-so-slightly higher-res. apps with a less capable camera. Camera is one of my most use cellphone apps, so I'm looking forward to the Zeiss lens.

To each their own, I suppose.

quote:
Windows Phone fanboys looking for scapegoats, this month it's all the sales reps fault, is getting tiresome.
No there's truth in this argument and it's not the sales reps' fault -- it's Microsoft's fault for not pushing the industry standard commissions that Android and Apple were handing out. As a result reps had no cause to push Windows Phones (I experienced this in an anecdotal context in several visits to AT&T).

Another problem for Microsoft was the low volume of most WP7 led many handset vendors to not put much focus on their firmware. I expect firmware on Nokia's handsets to be much better in the long run.

Expect some early struggles, but when you're selling millions of Windows Phones, you're going to focus on good Windows Phone firmware. If you're selling thousands of Windows Phones and millions of Androids, your focus will obviously be on the Android firmware.

quote:
The problem here is that Microsoft waited too late. They waited until Apple and Android were nearing critical mass to get a phone like this to the market. It's that simple.
Who knows? I've used Android and I like it, but I'm not IN LOVE with it. Likewise I can appreciate the quality of Apple's core apps, lawsuits aside, but am not wowed by their UI.

I think WP7/8 still have a great shot, given the amount of money that Microsoft is willing to push into the pit, and given that Nokia is finally giving them attractive Windows Phone handsets.

Can Nokia+Microsoft = Apple? Who knows... but I would expect Windows Phone's market share to grow, and become a strong third player.


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