Gartner Predicts PC Market Growth to Slow in 2011
June 8, 2011 7:32 PM
comment(s) - last by
The iPad is still the most popular tablet on the market by far
Tablet market will continue to grow at the same time
Gartner says that the growth in the PC market in 2011
will slow to 9.3%
, which is lower than the previously predicted 10.5% growth. The total number of computers predicted to ship this year is 385 million. Part of the reason growth in the market is slowing according to Gartner is that there are fewer compelling reasons for the consumer to upgrade their computer today. The company also predicts that there will be few direct replacements of PCs with tablets. The tablet is expected to be a complementary device to a computer.
"Consumer mobile PCs are no longer driving growth, because of sharply declining consumer interest in mini-notebooks. Mini-notebook shipments have noticeably contracted over the last several quarters, and this has substantially reduced overall mobile PC unit growth," said Ranjit Atwal, research director at Gartner. "Media tablets, such as the iPad, have also impacted mobile growth, but more because they have caused consumers to delay new mobile PC purchases rather than directly replacing aging mobile PCs with media tablets. We believe direct substitution of media tablets for mobile PCs will be minimal."
Gartner predicts that over the next 18 months, PC growth will be supported by healthy replacement in the professional markets. Many of these professional users have been holding onto existing computers in the face of the sagging economy. "Businesses sharply reduced replacements and extended PC lifetimes in response to the recession," said Raphael Vasquez, research analyst at Gartner. "Businesses have begun replacing aging PCs more vigorously. We expect the growing urgency for businesses to migrate away from Windows XP will drive significant professional replacements."
The tablet market is continuing to grow with very robust sales of tablets like the iPad. The iPad is in such high demand that Apple is having a hard time keeping up with the demand and some users are willing to go to
to purchase one.
are also increasing in popularity and
are starting to hit the market with capabilities more like a notebook than Android tablets or the iPad.
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6/9/2011 7:56:04 AM
I wouldn't count on that. Even if Battlefield 3 doubled the sales of Battlefield 2 (~5 million, extremely optimistic) only a small minority of those purchasers will choose to upgrade their system.
Let's be overly optimistic and say that 1 in every 10 BF3 buyers upgrades their system. 10%. You're only talking about an increase of 500,000 sales in a market that is expected to sell almost 400,000,000 units. That's less than a fraction of a fraction of a percent.
Sorry but the notion that a video game is going to spur PC sales is silly.
6/9/2011 11:57:46 AM
also over looked is the simple fact that 3-4 year old computers are more then enough for the majority of people.
if there is no need to upgrade, then most people will not, as its an appliance to them just like the dishwasher or washing machine or tv. only replaced when the old one breaks.
"Well, we didn't have anyone in line that got shot waiting for our system." -- Nintendo of America Vice President Perrin Kaplan
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