Gartner Predicts PC Market Growth to Slow in 2011
June 8, 2011 7:32 PM
comment(s) - last by
The iPad is still the most popular tablet on the market by far
Tablet market will continue to grow at the same time
Gartner says that the growth in the PC market in 2011
will slow to 9.3%
, which is lower than the previously predicted 10.5% growth. The total number of computers predicted to ship this year is 385 million. Part of the reason growth in the market is slowing according to Gartner is that there are fewer compelling reasons for the consumer to upgrade their computer today. The company also predicts that there will be few direct replacements of PCs with tablets. The tablet is expected to be a complementary device to a computer.
"Consumer mobile PCs are no longer driving growth, because of sharply declining consumer interest in mini-notebooks. Mini-notebook shipments have noticeably contracted over the last several quarters, and this has substantially reduced overall mobile PC unit growth," said Ranjit Atwal, research director at Gartner. "Media tablets, such as the iPad, have also impacted mobile growth, but more because they have caused consumers to delay new mobile PC purchases rather than directly replacing aging mobile PCs with media tablets. We believe direct substitution of media tablets for mobile PCs will be minimal."
Gartner predicts that over the next 18 months, PC growth will be supported by healthy replacement in the professional markets. Many of these professional users have been holding onto existing computers in the face of the sagging economy. "Businesses sharply reduced replacements and extended PC lifetimes in response to the recession," said Raphael Vasquez, research analyst at Gartner. "Businesses have begun replacing aging PCs more vigorously. We expect the growing urgency for businesses to migrate away from Windows XP will drive significant professional replacements."
The tablet market is continuing to grow with very robust sales of tablets like the iPad. The iPad is in such high demand that Apple is having a hard time keeping up with the demand and some users are willing to go to
to purchase one.
are also increasing in popularity and
are starting to hit the market with capabilities more like a notebook than Android tablets or the iPad.
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Advances are why this prediction will be wrong
6/9/2011 6:56:28 AM
When you think about it, the biggest weakness in the tablet and netbook markets is the overall lack of graphics and processing power compared to larger "full" computers and laptops. With the advances that are being rolled out this year, including the new AMD platforms, there will finally be some decently powerful graphics capabilities in smaller and smaller devices.
The reason the netbook market never really did well is because the long battery life was the ONLY reason why anyone would want to use such a slow and crippled machine. If a netbook actually had semi-acceptable performance, it would spark sales.
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