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Motorola Xoom needs a price cut  (Source: Motorola)
Android tablet shipment forecast cut as iPad shipment expectations grow

The tablet market is growing by leaps and bounds and Apple with its iPad is the source of much of that growth. There are a number of Android tablets on the market today, but they aren't selling well and some users are complaining about the Honeycomb operating system and the availability of tablet-specific apps.

Analysts have agreed that the tablets are taking market share from the notebook and netbook, but the outlook for tablets overall has taken a downturn recently. The reason that the estimates for overall shipments by analysts are changing has to do with the sinking popularity of Android tablets. While Android offerings are seeing estimates for shipments cut, the iPad is actually being increased.
Jefferies analyst Peter Misek noted about six months ago that the forecast for 2011 tablet sales was 100 million. After a recent poll of consumers, Misek has changed his predictions by a whopping 30% reports eWeek. He believes that 70 million tablets shipped is a more realistic expectation.

Misek wrote in a research note, "We now believe 70 million to be more realistic due to: 1) Android 3.0 Honeycomb needing polishing, and 2) Android tablets that are priced too high."

Misek also thinks that if tablet makers like Motorola and Samsung want to compete with the iPad, they are going to need to take a hit and cut the price. Bill Shope from Goldman Sachs also lowered the overall estimates for tablet shipments in 2011 and 2012. The decline was due to reduced estimates for Android tablets, the estimates for iPad shipments actually increased.

Shope wrote, "Our iPad forecast remains unchanged, though we have lowered our non-Apple tablet unit assumptions by 2.3 million units in 2011 and 2012." He continued, "Meanwhile, we have raised our forecast for Apple's tablet market share to 66.4 percent in 2011 (64 percent prior) and 66.6 percent in 2012 (65 percent prior). Overall, we are expecting 57.7 million total tablets for 2011 and 78.0 million tablets for 2012, versus 60.1 million and 80.3 million previously."

NVIDIA CEO Jen-Hsun Huang has also said that for Android tablets to be competitive, they need to be cheaper. NVIDIA has a vested interest in the Android tablet market since his company makes the Tegra processors that many of the newest Android tablets use.



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Working OS
By shompa on 5/18/2011 12:54:07 PM , Rating: -1
No one in their right mind should by an Android tablet today. Android 3 does not work.
When we have an working OS, and a working infrastructure. Then Android tables will overtake Ios, just like smart phones.




RE: Working OS
By omnicronx on 5/18/2011 1:02:14 PM , Rating: 2
Seriously, backup your claims or keep your mouth shut..

How do you go from 'Android 3 needs more polish' to 'Android 3 does not work'.

It works fine, I've used it extensively. Still a ways to go before they can truly compete head to head with the iPad throughout the entire consumer market, but implying that it 'does not work' is just flat out incorrect.

Simply put, they are priced too high.. plain and simple..


RE: Working OS
By tlbj6142 on 5/18/2011 1:22:04 PM , Rating: 2
It would also help if I didn't have to skip a house payment to buy one.

That said, I own a rooted gTab ($270 a few weeks back), which has been fun. It truly is not much more than a toy (and, for me, I don't see how it would ever be much more).


RE: Working OS
By Da W on 5/18/2011 1:25:54 PM , Rating: 2
Disagree, they are just plain useless.
Just because something is technically feasible doesn't mean it's economically desirable. What NEED does it fullfil? Browse the web? Send e-mails? Then people might just try the coming Windows tablets instead. So far it's still Apple 1, Google 0, Microsoft 0.

Apple got it perfect so far, and it's the only reason its selling: its a perfect toy, but its still a toy. I don't see the NEED for an iPad. Sales projections are still way too high and the PC market aint dying one bit.


RE: Working OS
By omnicronx on 5/18/2011 1:51:52 PM , Rating: 2
Your disagreeance has all to do with personal preference, which is clearly based on your disatisfaction with tablets in general, and has little to nothing to do with Android 3 itself.

I always find it hilarious when people like you come and state what is or what is not 'economically desirable' as though the vast majority of the population is taking this into consideration with their massive credit card debt, multiple mortgages and all.. (let alone users like the Apple faithful whom upgrade their devices each year, whether it is within their means or not)

People buy a computer for the exact reasons you describe, they want to consume content and have little need to create it. If I am using netbook to search the net, go on facebook, watch videos and play music, do I really need a full fledged PC for every day use?

Clearly tablets currently complement your PC and do not replace them, but to say they are useless across the board just makes you sound foolish.

YOU don't like tablets, and YOU don't find them economically feasible. Unfortunately YOU are not the voice for everyone as the ~70 million prospective tablet buyers this year would indicate.


RE: Working OS
By Da W on 5/18/11, Rating: 0
RE: Working OS
By Shadowmaster625 on 5/24/2011 8:25:16 AM , Rating: 2
Are you saying 70 million pwople cant be wrong?


RE: Working OS
By invidious on 5/18/2011 5:56:30 PM , Rating: 2
My Xoom kicks ass. It costs as much as the comparable iPad model but does far more. It will never sell as much as the iPad , but I dont care about that. Motorola should care about that, investors should care about that, but end users should not. The only thing that should matter to the end user is cost and use.

There are 4 types of people in this conversation.
1) People who just don't want tablets and thats fine.

2) People who legitimately like what Apple offers, which is less fine but still OK.

3) People who want a tablet but dont want the closed source tablet experience. Well Android is exactly the platform for them. Dig in to honeycomb, figure out the OS, and custimize it to be exactly what you need. All the tools are ready and working.

4) People who want the perfect tablet to be custom tailored to their exact needs out of the box but still be open source and low cost. These people are morons and trolls. Between Apple and Android both sides of the spectrum are satisfied. If they dont fit into those two sides then they probably just don't want a tablet... They just want to complain about tablets. Ignore these people .


RE: Working OS
By bplewis24 on 5/18/11, Rating: -1
RE: Working OS
By vtohthree on 5/18/2011 3:02:43 PM , Rating: 2
I am rather anti-ios and pro-android, however I do have to give some credit when due. I recently spent some time with a Xoom tablet and the Ipad2, though the Xoom is pretty much superior in hardware, the Ipad2 seemed to run a bit snappier and smoother overall.

Don't get me wrong, I will still pick the android over the ipad2(in part because of the superior hardware, ie: the screen), but I do admit that ios is a bit more fine tuned and refined than android.


RE: Working OS
By KoolAidMan1 on 5/18/2011 5:29:12 PM , Rating: 2
Except that the Xoom hardware isn't superior: http://www.anandtech.com/show/4225/the-ipad-2-revi...

Between that and the VA display that the Xoom uses, yeah, you're paying more than an iPad 2 for inferior hardware. The Asus Transformer is saddled with Tegra 2 and Honeycomb with its anemic app selection, but at least it is cheaper and has an IPS display.


RE: Working OS
By invidious on 5/18/2011 6:13:49 PM , Rating: 2
Synthetic benchmarks from a clearly biased source. Do you really think they know how to write a proper benchmark for an OS that was released less than a month before that review was posted? You drank too much cool aid my friend.

I have an Iphone 4g and a Xoom. I have more apps on my Xoom than than I do for the Iphone. When I open up the tops apps page on the Apple App store you know what I see? A bunch of apps that are also on the android market.


RE: Working OS
By KoolAidMan1 on 5/19/2011 12:30:02 PM , Rating: 2
Fine, ignore the benchmarks and look at the technical specifications for those GPUs. The Tegra 2 came out way behind schedule and is clearly behind the PowerVR GPU used in the iPad. The discrepancy in benchmarks follows the technical and physical limitations of the respective GPUs. There's a reason why the quad core version of that PowerVR GPU is going to be in the Sony NGP: It's a beast.

But nope, according to you the technicals specifications are also "biased" and there is no way that the much newer PowerVR GPU can be faster than the Tegra 2.

Posts like yours define "reality distortion" :/


RE: Working OS
By invidious on 5/18/2011 6:01:29 PM , Rating: 2
That was the lauch version of the OS. It has been updated and is faster now. Furthermore if you have software performance issues you can always download different software on Android. Everything from on screen keyboard to browser is completely customizable.

And of course you can overclock your Xoom cpu to 1.6Ghz from the stock 1.0Ghz if you want the best speed.


RE: Working OS
By zurkram on 5/18/11, Rating: 0
"We can't expect users to use common sense. That would eliminate the need for all sorts of legislation, committees, oversight and lawyers." -- Christopher Jennings














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