to Bloomberg, sources at Microsoft state that the company
will be making a very late tablet push, unveiling a dedicated tablet operating
system sometime next year (2012).
With Apple announcing its entry-level priced iPad 2 and with a
host of Android competitors like Samsung and Motorola releasing
higher-powered, more expensive entries, the tablet market is on fire. The
competition is particularly fierce on the operating system side where Apple has
poured a great deal of effort to make iOS better suited for a large-screen
device. Similarly Google has put tremendous effort to complete Android
3.0 Honeycomb, which overhauls the past Android UI and makes it truly
tablet-friendly. Even HP's
webOS and RIM are
looking to get a piece of the tablet business
Microsoft, meanwhile stands watching on the sidelines. While it will
release some Windows 7-based tablets this year, the outlook for them is
somewhat poor. They require
Intel x86 processors, and the chipmaker has struggled to deliver energy
efficient Atom chips for tablets. Another trouble spot is the Windows 7
OS itself. The operating system isn't exactly optimized for a tablet
experience, and with dedicated competitors like iOS 4.3 and Android Honeycomb
3.0 on the market, that could seriously stall sales.
Bloomberg quoted Michael Gartenberg, a New Jersey-based analyst, as
meeting the news with pessimism, stating, "If 2011 is the year of the tablet
wars, Microsoft will be awfully late suiting up for that battle."
And he's not alone; Goldman Sachs was scathing
in a recent assessment of Microsoft and Intel's combined tablet
Then again, a late entry may not spell doom for Microsoft's tablet efforts.
Its other key
mobile offering -- smartphones -- looked like a mess after the downhill
slide of Windows Mobile and the abysmal
failure of Kin. But by going back to the drawing board and taking the
time to reinvent, the company has delivered arguably the most
innovative smart phone user interface currently available. And
with a new partnership with Nokia in hand, Microsoft could pass Apple to become the
world's second largest smartphone OS maker in terms of sales if it
plays its cards right.
The one worrisome sign is that Microsoft is reportedly choosing to build on top
of Windows 7, adding more touch features. While Windows 7 is arguably a
great personal computer OS the question is whether even a modified version will
be up to speed on tablets. While such an approach is a quicker and
easier, many were hoping the company would port the Windows Phone 7/Zune
operating system to a tablet, given its more touch-centric UI. To
Microsoft's credit, many users -- including DailyTech readers
-- have clamored for Windows 7-tablets.
Interestingly, Microsoft appears to be preparing to follow a similar approach
is following with its upcoming Chrome netbook/notebook OS, giving out
test units to commercial partners and the public. Microsoft will
reportedly begin distributing device with test builds of the new OS before the
end of the year.
It is unclear whether current generation Windows 7 tablets releasing this year
will be upgradeable to the new OS next year, but this presumably would be the
case, if hardware makers cooperate.
According to reports   by
In-Stat, the tablet business will be booming over the next several years, and
will, in part, cannibalize PC sales. In-Stat predicts over 100 new
designs from Apple, Android makers (Motorola, Samsung, HTC, Sony-Ericcson,
Archos, etc.), RIM, HP (webOS), MeeGo tablet makers (no major named partners),
and Windows tablet makers (Dell, Lenovo, etc.) to enter the market this year.
And it predicts sales by 2014 to rise to 58 million units and by 2015 to
118 million units.
Microsoft is also reportedly preparing
its next generation version of Windows, which will support ARM
CPUs for notebooks, Windows 8.
quote: Sure Kin was a colossal black mark on MSFT's record, but consider that after that most dismissed MSFT's chances expecting it to be distantly behind the trifecta of Android, iOS, and RIM OS. Now with a partnership with Nokia in hand, MSFT is replacing Symbian and looks virtually assured a #2 spot in the world market AHEAD of Apple. Not only that, it arguably provides the most innovative smart phone interface, more so than Google or Apple.
quote: His view is that by the end of this year Nokia will have fallen to 12% of the global smart phone market and that's before we can expect a Nokia WP7 handset.
quote: The idea that the current Nokia global sales will transmute into WP7 Nokia phone sales thus propelling Microsoft into some sort giant market share is not very plausible.