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  (Source: Smart Power)
Study says skeptics are not well-informed on the topic

Stanford University recently conducted a study that shows a minimal number of scientists who do not accept that human beings have contributed to the Earth's climate change have "far less expertise and prominence in climate research" than scientists who do believe climate change has been affected by humans. 

The university came to these conclusions by analyzing the number of research papers published "by more than 900 climate researchers" and the number of times these researchers' works were cited by other scientists. The expertise was evaluated by citing the number of research papers written by scientists (with the minimum number for inclusion being 20).

Prominence was analyzed by finding the four most popular climate change and non-climate change papers published by scientists, and "tallying" the number of times these papers were cited. According to the results, approximately 64 percent of papers by climate researchers convinced of human contribution were cited more often than those who are unconvinced. 

"These are standard academic metrics used when universities are making hiring or tenure decisions," said William Anderegg, lead author of a paper published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

The scientists who participated in the study were also involved in creating the 2007 report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which compiled and "assessed the evidence for and against human involvement in climate change, as well as any climate researchers who signed a major public statement disagreeing with the findings of the panel's report."

In addition, the university's team of scientists decided on who the top 100 climate researchers are by determining the "total number of climate-related publications each had." According to Anderegg, 97 percent of those in the top 100 agree with and/or endorse the IPCC's assessment. He also says that this result has been "borne out" by other studies that use different methodology.  

"We really wanted to bring the expertise dimension into this whole discussion," said Anderegg. "We hope to put to rest the notion that keeps being repeated in the media and by some members of the public that 'the scientists disagree' about whether human activity is contributing to climate change."

The scientists at Stanford have mentioned that they are ready to take some heat from doubters of anthropogenic, or human-affected, climate change who "object to their data." But according to Stephen Schneider, a professor of biology and a coauthor of the paper in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, the team "took pains to avoid any sort of prejudice or skewed data in their analysis." When selecting researchers for the study who either disagreed with statements of the IPCC or signed the petitions, the Stanford team was sure to stay completely neutral in the study by omitting "those who had no published papers in the climate literature."

Schneider says that despite the careful analysis of this study, skeptics of human-affected climate change will "claim foul" anyway, and will say that climate researchers who are onboard with the idea of anthropogenic climate change are "just trying to deny publication of the doubters' opinion," but he challenges them to "go out and do a study to prove it -- it is of course not true."

"I think the most typical criticism of a paper like this -- not necessarily in academic discourse, but in the broader context -- is going to be that we haven't addressed these sorts of differences could be due to some clique or, at the extreme, a conspiracy of the researchers who are convinced of climate change," Anderegg said. 

"When you stop to consider whether some sort of 'group think' really drives these patterns and it could really exist in science in general, the idea is really pretty laughable," he said. "All of the incentives in science are exactly the opposite."

This Stanford study is the first of its kind to address the issue of scientists' opinions of human-affected climate change, and what their level of expertise and prominence in the field is. 



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By Spamalotnot on 6/28/2010 8:45:32 PM , Rating: 2
Science is about evidence and measurement, nor headcounts of biased opinions (on either side). My favorite climate fraud exposure site is here:

http://joannenova.com.au/

Check out her REASONED arguments and tell me she isn't "informed". Note how she goes head to head with "well-informed" members of the fraud set (scientists they may be) and how they constantly prove how "ill informed" THEY are and how they constantly avoid addressing central questions of EVIDENCE. Then tell me they aren't frauds.

The truth is, it isn't the "deniers" that are in denial, its the idiots that ever bought any version of "Consensus = Science". That's just stupidity and it's now been fully exposed. Continuing to believe proven stupidity borders on insanity. Continuing to believe con-men and con-women like Gore, Pachauri, etc. just shows and either a lack of capacity for independent reasoning or just plain laziness and unwillingness to do some research and objectively assess the veracity of opposing arguments. Anyone who does that on the subject "AGW" or "climate change" or whatever the title of deception is this week will soon arrive at the conclusion that they are in fact a "denier". If not, they have an agenda.




By Nutzo on 6/29/2010 11:30:57 AM , Rating: 2
Why would you expect Gore to do any research, when he can make millions by simply going around scaring people?

Follow the money....


By Spamalotnot on 6/29/2010 4:37:55 PM , Rating: 2
Good point . . . and why would bad scientists (especially those who know their own failings) even try to do research or real science when corrupt governments (including the UN - the most corrupt of all) will funnel them grants worth millions just for agreeing with their power grabbing cons?

Follow the money indeed . . . .


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