Adobe Says HTML 5 Won't Replace Flash
June 19, 2009 12:30 PM
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Open source advocates claim Adobe is showing open source animosity
When it comes to rich media on the Internet today, much of the media is powered by Adobe Flash. Flash has some competition like
, but Flash continues to be one of the most supported rich media applications.
The future of Flash is not as clear as it once was with Google touting the ability to support rich media applications online with HTML 5. For its part
Adobe insists that Flash will survive
HTML 5 and Adobe CEO Shantanu Narayen went so far as to dismiss HTML 5, reports
Narayen said, "[T]he fragmentation of browsers makes Flash even more important rather than less important."
Perhaps the most interesting demonstration that could put fear into the hearts of Adobe and its shareholder is the demonstration by Google at its developer conference of a YouTube prototype using HTML 5 instead of Flash.
Adobe's John Dowdell posted a blog comment in response to numerous headlines and Tweets that called HTML 5 a "Flash-killer." Dowdell called Apple, Google, and Mozilla "a consortium of minority browser vendors" and considered the absence of Flash on the iPhone and Silverlight technology as an endorsement of the technology.
Dowdell wrote, "Silverlight's launch helped boost the popularity of Flash. ... iPhone helped to radically increase the number of phones with Flash support."
Adobe has taken a defensive tact with regards to HTML 5 leading to speculation that the company may be more afraid of the technology that it wants to let on.
reports that some readers posted comments to Dowdell's blog calling the advocacy of Flash another sign of Adobe's "open standards animosity."
Adobe is trucking along in the poor global economy, but reported a 41% drop in profits for its last quarter. Despite the decline in profit the stock price remains steady, which
believes is a sign that investors see the drop in profits as due to the economy and not issues with the company or its offerings. Strategy
reported in February that MySpace and YouTube were
driving the adoption of some forms of Flash
. If YouTube movies to another platform it would be a significant blow to Adobe.
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"Minority Browser Consortium" No Insignificant
6/19/2009 12:51:56 PM
While Internet Explorer is definitively still the most used browser in the world, it's browser share has now fallen below 2 thirds of the market, meaning with 1 third of internet users, the "minority" is not small.I'm not sure being dismissive and antagonistic of other browsers, their efforts, and their users is a smart strategy for Adobe in the long run.
RE: "Minority Browser Consortium" No Insignificant
6/19/2009 1:56:11 PM
I think the bigger issue is that two (Google, Apple) of the three members of that "minority browser consortium" are major players in the tech industry that have about six and nine times the revenue of Adobe (based on Wikipedia numbers), respectively, and are undeniably more influential players in the tech industry.
It would be roughly equivalent to AMD and Intel saying "we're going to make XYZ major change to how the processor industry works" and VIA responding with "they are just a minority consortium in the low-power/SFF x86 system industry. We're not concerned."
RE: "Minority Browser Consortium" No Insignificant
6/19/2009 3:24:11 PM
Nothing will happen w/o Microsoft here, no matter what Apple, Google, or Mozilla do. Just look at SVG as proof. Not having IE support the technology ( it supports VML instead ) killed it.
I'm sure HTML5 will be available on all browsers someday, but Flash & Silverlight will also have gotten new features that are not available today.
"I mean, if you wanna break down someone's door, why don't you start with AT&T, for God sakes? They make your amazing phone unusable as a phone!" -- Jon Stewart on Apple and the iPhone
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