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Dr. Velasco Herrara  (Source: Reuters)
A "little ice age" in our future?

Previous DailyTech stories have detailed recent cooling experienced by the planet, and highlighted some of the scientists currently predicting extended global cooling.  Even the UN IPCC has stated that world temperatures may continue to decline, if only briefly.

Now, an expert in geophysics at the National Autonomous University of Mexico has added his voice to the fray. Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera, a researcher at UNAM's Institute of Geophysics, has predicted an imminent period of cooling intense enough to be called a small ice age.

Speaking to a crowd at a conference at the Center for Applied Sciences and Technological Development, Herrera says the sun can both cool and warm the planet. Variations in solar activity, he says, are causing changes in the Earth's climate.

"So that in two years or so, there will be a small ice age that lasts from 60 to 80 years", he said. "The most immediate result will be drought."  Herrera says satellite temperature data indicates this cooling may have already begun.

Recent increases in glacier mass in the Andes, Patagonia, and Canada were given as further evidence of an upcoming cold spell.

Herrera also described the predictions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as "erroneous". According to Herrera, their forecasts “are incorrect because are only based on mathematical models which do not include [factors such as] solar activity".

Herrera pointed to the so-called "Little Ice Age" which peaked in the 17th century, as a previous cooling event caused by solar fluctuations.

Herrera made his remarks at UNAM, located in Mexico City, is the oldest university on the North American continent.



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Open the eyes
By Rebargod on 8/20/2008 6:39:04 PM , Rating: 2
I guess the biggest problem I see is that X number people are simply following:

1. Albeit a smart group of scientists, the conclusions achieved are by too many estimates,models that they create,and most likely flawed equations

2. The media.

People need to not blindly follow, but use some common sense observation of nature, and history, to arrive at more accurate predictions.

Just because 100,000 people say its so, does not mean they are right.

Based on the above, I will contunue to disbelieve the IPCC, and its followers.

I think we will see more and more of the other camp in the following time. The camp that wanted to disagree with the IPCC, but could not, less they were persecuted.




RE: Open the eyes
By badmoodguy on 8/21/2008 4:14:52 PM , Rating: 2
This just in.... People are stupid. More exactly, people evidence stupidity in things they don't care a lot about. In those cases they don't spend the time to figure out what is actually going on so they just rely on anything that sounds good that somebody tells them is so. The cause of a problem is the first thing that they can think of that they don't like.

This behavior isn't necessarily bad since it lets a person spend time on the things they feel are important without getting bogged down on the rest of life. But the more you know about any field the more you know that everything the populous says about it is totally wrong. This is true in my fields of Physics and Mathematics and my career of C.S.

Hell, I'm one of the smartest people I've ever met and I didn't realize I was stupid until about 35.


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