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Dr. Velasco Herrara  (Source: Reuters)
A "little ice age" in our future?

Previous DailyTech stories have detailed recent cooling experienced by the planet, and highlighted some of the scientists currently predicting extended global cooling.  Even the UN IPCC has stated that world temperatures may continue to decline, if only briefly.

Now, an expert in geophysics at the National Autonomous University of Mexico has added his voice to the fray. Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera, a researcher at UNAM's Institute of Geophysics, has predicted an imminent period of cooling intense enough to be called a small ice age.

Speaking to a crowd at a conference at the Center for Applied Sciences and Technological Development, Herrera says the sun can both cool and warm the planet. Variations in solar activity, he says, are causing changes in the Earth's climate.

"So that in two years or so, there will be a small ice age that lasts from 60 to 80 years", he said. "The most immediate result will be drought."  Herrera says satellite temperature data indicates this cooling may have already begun.

Recent increases in glacier mass in the Andes, Patagonia, and Canada were given as further evidence of an upcoming cold spell.

Herrera also described the predictions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as "erroneous". According to Herrera, their forecasts “are incorrect because are only based on mathematical models which do not include [factors such as] solar activity".

Herrera pointed to the so-called "Little Ice Age" which peaked in the 17th century, as a previous cooling event caused by solar fluctuations.

Herrera made his remarks at UNAM, located in Mexico City, is the oldest university on the North American continent.



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RE: Another contrarian - so what?
By clovell on 8/20/2008 5:47:36 PM , Rating: 2
> I've no inclination to plot anything myself - I'm not a climate scientist and don't believe that by cherry-picking a couple of data points, slapping it in to a spreadsheet that I will then have a greater understanding of a highly complex multi-faceted scientific discipline than scientists who have spent decades studying it. To do so would demonstrate massive arrogance and Dunning Kruger effect. Instead I will accept the scientific position of every national science academy of every major industrialised country on the planet, all of whom confirm recent climate change is due to human activity.

That's ridiculous. Anyone with a fifth grade education can plot raw values over time and tell if they trend up or down. Arrogance is not involved, but a modicum of intelligence and objectivity is requisite.

Is it ruly too much to ask that you think for yourself? God help us...


RE: Another contrarian - so what?
By Suomynona on 8/23/2008 8:44:19 AM , Rating: 2
"If you look at the last five years, if you look at what major innovations have occurred in computing technology, every single one of them came from AMD. Not a single innovation came from Intel." -- AMD CEO Hector Ruiz in 2007

















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