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Dr. Velasco Herrara  (Source: Reuters)
A "little ice age" in our future?

Previous DailyTech stories have detailed recent cooling experienced by the planet, and highlighted some of the scientists currently predicting extended global cooling.  Even the UN IPCC has stated that world temperatures may continue to decline, if only briefly.

Now, an expert in geophysics at the National Autonomous University of Mexico has added his voice to the fray. Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera, a researcher at UNAM's Institute of Geophysics, has predicted an imminent period of cooling intense enough to be called a small ice age.

Speaking to a crowd at a conference at the Center for Applied Sciences and Technological Development, Herrera says the sun can both cool and warm the planet. Variations in solar activity, he says, are causing changes in the Earth's climate.

"So that in two years or so, there will be a small ice age that lasts from 60 to 80 years", he said. "The most immediate result will be drought."  Herrera says satellite temperature data indicates this cooling may have already begun.

Recent increases in glacier mass in the Andes, Patagonia, and Canada were given as further evidence of an upcoming cold spell.

Herrera also described the predictions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as "erroneous". According to Herrera, their forecasts “are incorrect because are only based on mathematical models which do not include [factors such as] solar activity".

Herrera pointed to the so-called "Little Ice Age" which peaked in the 17th century, as a previous cooling event caused by solar fluctuations.

Herrera made his remarks at UNAM, located in Mexico City, is the oldest university on the North American continent.

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RE: Easy to guess who wrote this, isn't it?
By snownpaint on 8/20/2008 4:01:12 PM , Rating: 1
I like your post.. right on.. I wish more people had a head on their shoulders like you..

By Ringold on 8/20/2008 9:02:47 PM , Rating: 2
Everybody in Florida here should have their climate skepticism boosted a bit. Yes, I know, hurricane path predictions may be significantly different than global climate predictions, but they are related.

A couple days ago, Fay was going to go way to the West of the peninsula. A day or so ago, it was going to come up the middle of the state. After it made landfall, then it was predicted to go way to the east.

In fact, at one point, the local news had all the models paths on the screen, and it was lunacy. They literally were all over the place; some taking it way west, others way east, and some due north. They also predicted it would weaken once on shore, but no, it strengthened. Shouldn't of surprised them; Katrina and others did the same. They were also a little surprised, I think, that it has stopped moving a couple times.

In other words, these models, the scientists that made them and those who rely on them had almost no idea what was going on. And yet people expect me to take on blind faith the predictions of others in the same field? Heh. No, thanks.

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