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Dr. Velasco Herrara  (Source: Reuters)
A "little ice age" in our future?

Previous DailyTech stories have detailed recent cooling experienced by the planet, and highlighted some of the scientists currently predicting extended global cooling.  Even the UN IPCC has stated that world temperatures may continue to decline, if only briefly.

Now, an expert in geophysics at the National Autonomous University of Mexico has added his voice to the fray. Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera, a researcher at UNAM's Institute of Geophysics, has predicted an imminent period of cooling intense enough to be called a small ice age.

Speaking to a crowd at a conference at the Center for Applied Sciences and Technological Development, Herrera says the sun can both cool and warm the planet. Variations in solar activity, he says, are causing changes in the Earth's climate.

"So that in two years or so, there will be a small ice age that lasts from 60 to 80 years", he said. "The most immediate result will be drought."  Herrera says satellite temperature data indicates this cooling may have already begun.

Recent increases in glacier mass in the Andes, Patagonia, and Canada were given as further evidence of an upcoming cold spell.

Herrera also described the predictions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as "erroneous". According to Herrera, their forecasts “are incorrect because are only based on mathematical models which do not include [factors such as] solar activity".

Herrera pointed to the so-called "Little Ice Age" which peaked in the 17th century, as a previous cooling event caused by solar fluctuations.

Herrera made his remarks at UNAM, located in Mexico City, is the oldest university on the North American continent.



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An expert from the "University of Mexico"
By johnbuk on 8/20/2008 2:09:50 PM , Rating: 5
The "University of Mexico"- isn't that the source the Weekly World News used to use for all of it's reporting?

I miss the regular reports on Bat Boy and am disappointed I won't get to read about Obama and McCain meeting with aliens.




RE: An expert from the "University of Mexico"
By jaimesheiro on 8/20/2008 2:24:14 PM , Rating: 4
UNAM is second largest school in the world. Several Nobel Prize winners have graduate from it.

How many come from your college?


RE: An expert from the "University of Mexico"
By JasonMick (blog) on 8/20/08, Rating: 0
RE: An expert from the "University of Mexico"
By masher2 (blog) on 8/20/2008 4:03:11 PM , Rating: 4
> "Guy seems like a crackpot to me. "

He's a crackpot because he has three Ph.D.s and you don't know how to use Google Scholar? Interesting logic you have there.

Here's a list of his publications:

http://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&lr=&q=Herr...


RE: An expert from the "University of Mexico"
By ipay on 8/21/2008 8:50:42 AM , Rating: 1
And amongst his recent publications is 'Territorial Manifestations of the Economical Influence Areas of Global Warming and Climate Change'.

Why would he co-author a paper that accepts the reality of AGW if he says it's not happening?

Either your story is based on a lie and Herrera has not said the things attributed to him - this wouldn't be the first time the denial gang have lied to further their cause - or he's some combination of deranged and dishonest.

It must be frustrating fighting a battle where all evidence and reality conspires against you....


By masher2 (blog) on 8/21/2008 11:26:32 AM , Rating: 3
> "Why would he co-author a paper that accepts the reality of AGW if he says it's not happening?"

You are confused. Climate change does not equate to anthropogenic global warming. Herrera believes in climate change; he simply believes the sun is the largest driver of it.

This is a common tactic among the CAGW crowd. Much of the research on climate change is automatically assumed to be inferring a human source.


By jaimesheiro on 8/20/2008 6:05:17 PM , Rating: 4
quote:
Entirely incorrect. UNAM is the 17th largest school in the world
Most on your list include more than one university. Like The Florida University System, which have 12 different university to make that total. UNAM is one single university.

I do not know this professor but it is very selective process to become professor there. It is the most prestigious school in Spanish-speaking world.


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