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Dr. Velasco Herrara  (Source: Reuters)
A "little ice age" in our future?

Previous DailyTech stories have detailed recent cooling experienced by the planet, and highlighted some of the scientists currently predicting extended global cooling.  Even the UN IPCC has stated that world temperatures may continue to decline, if only briefly.

Now, an expert in geophysics at the National Autonomous University of Mexico has added his voice to the fray. Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera, a researcher at UNAM's Institute of Geophysics, has predicted an imminent period of cooling intense enough to be called a small ice age.

Speaking to a crowd at a conference at the Center for Applied Sciences and Technological Development, Herrera says the sun can both cool and warm the planet. Variations in solar activity, he says, are causing changes in the Earth's climate.

"So that in two years or so, there will be a small ice age that lasts from 60 to 80 years", he said. "The most immediate result will be drought."  Herrera says satellite temperature data indicates this cooling may have already begun.

Recent increases in glacier mass in the Andes, Patagonia, and Canada were given as further evidence of an upcoming cold spell.

Herrera also described the predictions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as "erroneous". According to Herrera, their forecasts “are incorrect because are only based on mathematical models which do not include [factors such as] solar activity".

Herrera pointed to the so-called "Little Ice Age" which peaked in the 17th century, as a previous cooling event caused by solar fluctuations.

Herrera made his remarks at UNAM, located in Mexico City, is the oldest university on the North American continent.

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RE: well...
By HrilL on 8/20/2008 12:24:34 PM , Rating: 1
Its called Santa Barbara California. Not that I want more people here but it never gets too hot and it never gets too cold. We might have 5 nights in the winter where it gets below 32 and like 5 days in the summer where we might get into the lower 90s. But not everyone can live in paradise.

RE: well...
By deeznuts on 8/20/2008 1:34:11 PM , Rating: 1
Sounds like you're describing San Diego.

Ohio just right? I think that's the first time I heard that. And our company's outside counsel is in Natti, so I hear their opinions all the time when they come out here.

RE: well...
By FITCamaro on 8/20/2008 2:23:26 PM , Rating: 2
That made me laugh.

RE: well...
By therealnickdanger on 8/20/2008 3:57:34 PM , Rating: 2
I've got friends out there... very nice place to visit! Far to expensive for me to live, however. Too many homeless people too. Too many to jump with my skateboard, that's for damned sure.

RE: well...
By Adonlude on 8/20/2008 3:58:53 PM , Rating: 2
You beat me to it! Santa Barbara is the perfect city... but I shouldn't say too much becuase like you said we dont need more people moving here. Perhaps we can demolish some of these barrios like around Milpas to make more room for good people?

RE: well...
By 67STANG on 8/20/2008 5:04:20 PM , Rating: 2
I'm moving to Ventura in 3 months. Looked at both Santa Barbara and Carpinteria, but they were both over 700k for a 3 bedroom house... I'm "settling" for Ventura where the temp is the same and the housing is roughly 30% cheaper.

Either way, coming from the San Joaquin Valley, the cost is ridiculous. But since it's generally 30 degrees cooler there in the summer, it's worth it.

RE: well...
By HrilL on 8/21/2008 11:32:42 AM , Rating: 2
Yes there is more wind in venura but still a very nice place to live. I have family there as well.

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