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Yahoo CEO Jerry Yang
Yahoo searches for answers as it runs out of options, makes deal with Google

Yahoo announced grimly on Friday that talks with Microsoft were over.  According to Yahoo at a secret Sunday meeting Microsoft "unequivocally" rejected the idea of buying the whole company and tried instead to push for Yahoo to sell it just its search portal.  Interestingly, Microsoft appears to believe the search portal is worth more than the company as a whole, at least to its interests.  Yahoo, however, clung to the belief that its search portal, second on the internet to rival Google, was too valuable to sell piecemeal. 

The news of talks ending sent shares sinking like a stone in the sea, down over two and a half dollars to finish at $23.52.  To put this in context, Microsoft publicly offered Yahoo $33 a share.  Yahoo demanded $37 a share, saying Microsoft proposal "significantly undervalued" it. 

It has since come out that the faceoff occurred at a Seattle airport on May 3, between Yahoo CEO Jerry Yang and Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer.  Yang allegedly demanded more money and Ballmer balked at the demand.  This exchange reiterated Yahoo's penchant for a rather vainglorious vision of self-worth, which it has held throughout much of the talks while showing little ability to justify it.

Standard and Poor's equity analyst Scott Kessler puts it aptly, saying, "If you are a Yahoo! shareholder, you just have to be scratching your head right now."

Perhaps more shocking, according to a recent lawsuit filed by shareholders Ballmer later would go on to make an offer of $40 a share -- nearly a hundred percent premium at the current share price.  According to the lawsuit, Yang and Yahoo Board Chairman Roy Bostock intentionally sabotaged the deal, and were not interested in selling the company at any price.  These claims have yet to be proved or disproved in a court of law.

The end of talks and Yahoo's failing stock is especially bad news for Yang and Bostock, as it puts investor Carl Icahn in prime position to sway already malcontent shareholders to his side when he attempts a takeover in the company's annual shareholder meeting, which Yahoo's management has pushed back to August.  If successful, Icahn is going to do a little late summer cleaning, ousting not only all the board, but also Yang, who he feels has been especially damaging to the company and its ability to deal.

A small hope still lies for Yahoo's top leadership in that Microsoft's complete rejection may bring into question whether Icahn's attempt to sell would have any more success.  Many analysts think that a great deal of whether the takeover bid succeeds depends on what kind of plan Icahn can bring to the table.  An optimal scenario for him would be if he came having already advanced in preliminary informal negotiations with Microsoft, while a not as promising scenario would be if he merely said talks would commence after the switch.

Icahn remained silent on the latest developments for the time being.

In yet another sign of slippage, Yahoo is trying to regain composure after the failure by announcing a deal with Google.  After a test run with Google showed that using Google advertising next to Yahoo search results would significantly up revenue, Yahoo is eager to make a deal with Google.  The deal, if it passes antitrust scrutiny is estimated to bring in about $800M USD extra revenue for Yahoo in the next 12 months.

Google's top executives were quick to praise the deal.  Cofounder Sergey Brin said, "I am happy to be helping them to stay independent."

And his fellow cofounder Larry Page added, "Having more money is a good thing."

However, beneath the rhetoric, the fact remains that coming to Google is a major concession, and will likely forever put Yahoo at second place, at best, in a critical element of the search engine business -- advertising.  While a Microsoft-Yahoo conglomeration, might have dreamed of taking on Google, the Yahoo of today, selling parts of its business to Google, has little chance of holding such hopes.  The latest developments only bring more uncertainty and drama to the unfolding story of the struggling company that was once the internet's top search engine.

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No Mistake
By barjebus on 6/13/2008 12:03:55 PM , Rating: 4
First of all, Yahoo's share price is still above what it was when the offer was tendered. Yahoo was at 18$ when the offer was made, and it's still 4$ above that mark. I do believe it will settle down back to 18$ eventually in the coming weeks, but for now, Yahoo shareholders have come out better than they started.

As to selling the search engine piecemeal, how can anyone say it's a mistake to sell the core aspect of your business?? That's like Microsoft selling off it's Windows product line, and keeping Microsoft Office, or Honda selling off it's car manufacturing and focusing on building trucks.

It just doesn't make sense to split up the company in that manner.

RE: No Mistake
By tmouse on 6/13/2008 12:31:16 PM , Rating: 2
I think the elevator ride has just begun

RE: No Mistake
By Ringold on 6/13/2008 5:08:36 PM , Rating: 3
Back in 05, it was over $43.

Now, you admit it'll settle down to less than half that.

No mistake at all? This is people like Icahn's point; Microsoft was saving Yahoo from itself.

To read the verdict of the market with less noise, look at MSFT. Yahoo haggling starts, stock tanks.

Now Microsoft said the discussions are dead, and the stock spiked from $27 to $29. Even Microsoft shareholders think Yahoo is ... of questionable value.

RE: No Mistake
By teckytech9 on 6/13/2008 6:47:36 PM , Rating: 2
This charade by Microsoft to pursue a merger/takeover bid for Yahoo! has occurred unsuccessfully before (2005, 2006, and 2007). Each time the discussions occurred, the stock prices of both companies were directly impacted.

These discussions are mostly a speculative attempt to shore up the stock prices of one company and dilute the other. Since Microsoft won't be spending any of their cash on Yahoo! this time around, they won't have to go into debt either. These soap operas are masterminded by analysts in Wall Street who create illusions of grandeur on speculative mergers and acquisitions. What synergies really existed in the first place?

Another AOL/Time Warner flop was probably diverted this time. A synergy between Google and Yahoo! seems like a win/win.

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