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Toshiba also says the price of NAND will drop 50% every year from now on

While solid-state drives (SSDs) aren’t the most popular storage medium in notebook computers right now, they are expected to grow significantly in the near future. Toshiba Semiconductor is betting that SSD drives grow significantly over the next three years and is enhancing capacity and reducing costs to grab that growing market.

Toshiba Semiconductor President Shozo Saito said at a seminar that he expects a full quarter of all notebooks shipped to be equipped with SSDs by 2011. Toshiba expects the SSD market to grow 133% every year on average through 2010 and Toshiba says its building capacity faster than that.

Toshiba plans to address several issues currently keeping SSDs from becoming more widely used. Toshiba is also addressing the concerns with regards to the rewrite limit for multi-level cells used in today’s SSDs. Saito said at the conference that, “If data is efficiently concentrated and stored in caches in an effort to reduce the frequency of rewrites, rewrites on SSDs can be reduced to a number far below 10,000 times in five years, even for heavy PC users."

Other major hurdles for the widespread adoption of SSD drives are the price and capacity current drives offer. Toshiba s addressing the capacity issue by working on miniaturizing the production process it uses from the current 43nm process it introduced in March 2008 to 30nm which it expects to introduce in 2009.

Toshiba will also improve multi-valuing by moving from its current 3-bit-per-cell product to a 4-bit-per-cell product. SanDisk beat Toshiba to market by a month with its 40nm 3-bit-per-cell process in February of 2008.

The price premium for SSDs compared to 2.5-inch Hard drives is expected to drop to a 3.2 times premium, roughly half of what it is now according to Toshiba.

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RE: Dreaming is nice
By Oregonian2 on 4/24/2008 3:48:41 PM , Rating: 2
I'm not sure if that's being fair to Kodak. Now, their film division would certainly not stop promoting film, as they surely aren't even now, Kodak certainly is part of digital photography's foundation. The Bayer pattern that 99.9% of all digital camera sensors use came from Kodak. One of it's leading replacements is coming from Kodak (no, not Foveon). Kodak was about the very first makers of digital cameras (remember those Nikon bodies that they hacked up and made into very spendy digital cameras a VERY long time ago?). They also were, if still aren't, a major CCD supplier for digital camera makers (themselves and others) -- not that others haven't since come along and prospered, but Kodak was there long ago. They just haven't been as successful as others -- they have been trying. Tt's just that their instamatic success hasn't transferred over to digital. Yes, partly it's because their commitment to "go big" might have dragged, but they were participating early -- even if not done in a successful manner.

RE: Dreaming is nice
By TonyB on 4/24/2008 9:16:53 PM , Rating: 2
from what I can remember, Kodak was trying to push their crappy APS (Advanced Photo System) down everyone throats instead of 100% embracing Digital as the new thing.

RE: Dreaming is nice
By Oregonian2 on 4/25/2008 4:34:16 PM , Rating: 2
Yes, and those Japanese makers of digital cameras (Canon, Nikon, etc) all still try to sell you film cameras too. APS was a stupid idea because ALL of the real benefits were for the processor and for Kodak. It was something to increase profitability, not to make a better product for the customer. But that had nothing really to do with digital activities going on at the same time. Their film and chemical divisions SHOULD still be trying their best to sell product and make money until they simply can't do it -- not lay down and die just because they aren't digital.

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