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The image of a hurricane-spawning smokestack was used to promote the film, An Inconvenient Truth.
Author of the theory that global warming breeds stronger hurricanes recants his view

Noted Hurricane Expert Kerry Emanuel has publicly reversed his stance on the impact of Global Warming on Hurricanes. Saying "The models are telling us something quite different from what nature seems to be telling us," Emanuel has released new research indicating that even in a rapidly warming world, hurricane frequency and intensity will not be substantially affected.

"The results surprised me," says Emanuel, one of the media's most quoted figures on the topic.

The view that global warming has limited impact on hurricane strength has been previously reported in numerous DailyTech articles.

Emanuel, professor of Atmospheric Science at MIT, is the author of numerous books and research papers on climate change. For over twenty years, he has argued that global warming breeds more frequent and stronger storms.  In fact, his 1987 paper is often cited as the first appearance of the theory itself.

His 2005 research -- published just one month before Hurricane Katrina struck -- made world headlines, and was heralded as the "final proof" that Global Warming was already having severe impacts on daily lives.  Overnight, Emanuel became a media darling.  The following year, Time Magazine named him to their "100 People Who Shape Our World" list.

In 2006, Al Gore used an image of a smokestack spawning a hurricane to promote his movie, An Inconvenient Truth.

Emanuel's newest work, co-authored with two other researchers, simulates hurricane conditions nearly 200 years in the future. The research -- the first to mesh global climate models with small-scale high-resolution simulations of individual storms -- found that while storm strength rises slightly in some areas, it falls in others -- and the total number of worldwide storms actually declines slightly.

Emanuel's reversal is certain to reverberate through political circles as well; many politicians and candidates are using the hurricane threat to compel action on climate change.



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Y2k? Ozone?
By jcherrybon on 4/24/2008 4:13:52 PM , Rating: 2
It's absolutely hilarious that people talk about Y2k as a scam. Yeah, I guess all of the teams of Y2K conversion programmers working furiously before Y2k to correct the problem were all in on it. The fact that their work prevented problems from happening means it was all a lie to begin with.

You guys also realize that they could measure the hole in the ozone layer? It's real. We know what causes it.

As for global warming, I have never seen such blind faith from a group as I do from the anti-GW people. Almost every week a new anti-GW talking point is offered up, and the zealots all pick it up and run with it.

This is the best part:

*global warming doesn't exist because it was cold the other day
*then when it is shown to be a fact, "Ok, so it is happening but it is 100% the result of the sun. Humans have zero influence on it"
*further data shows that we are contributing and we are seeing the effects so now it's "Well it's probably a good thing anyway.. who wouldn't want a shorter trip through the north passage?"
*then we have a record cold one day and it's all a big hoax again; "Global warmin'? It's cold today!"
*Al Gore sucks! (as if Al is a scientist and came up with this idea himself)

One of the most amusing anti-GW positions I hear is that it's a devious plan to destroy capitalism and spread socialism.

It's so hard to keep a straight face when I hear that.




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