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Motorola Xoom
Gartner lowers forecast for PC shipments over the next two years

Tablets, once relegated to only the dark corners of the consumer electronics market, are shaking off their awkward teenage years and are coming into their own -- so much so that they're cutting into analysts forecasts of future PC shipments.

Gartner significantly lowered its forecast for worldwide PC shipments, from 15.9 percent to 10.5 percent for this year, and from 14.8 percent to 13.6 percent for 2012, Information Week reports.

Gartner cites two main reasons for the diminished forecasts: tablets' growth and laptops' limitations. Tablets, like the forthcoming iPad 2 and Motorola Xoom, are being marketed so well that consumers are beginning to consider them as viable options for their mobile computing needs. Meanwhile, laptops remain heavy and suffer from weak battery life, making them less mobile than the slab alternative.

"For a long time the computing universe was PC centric," Gartner analyst George Shiffler told Information Week. "That era is definitely done."

Goldman Sachs predicts even more severe results for PCs. In a December study, the investment bank predicted that the PC market would grow by only 8 percent this year, with tablets replacing one in every three PCs.

And while the market is certainly shifting, don't expect mobile PCs to go away anytime soon. "By the time this all plays out in three or four years, the mobile PC will take a little bit of a hit, but it's still going to be hanging in there as an important part of people's device collection," Shiffler said. People who need to create content will continue to do so on PCs, while those looking to consume will opt for tablets.



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Tablet/Desktop are different tools
By Mike Acker on 3/8/2011 6:41:07 AM , Rating: 2
IMHO a Tablet and a Desktop are two different tools. Each has its own use. For my daily routine I prefer my Desktop and a cup of coffee. I don't like working a tablet or net book: I find them frustrating.

I don't see that I should pay twice for internet service either: once for my broadband set up and again for wireless?

I would like to see NEXTEL re-focused as a no-frills service: ruggedized phones only, with text, 2-way, and phone tap only. no video. focus on reliability -- the old IDEN net was good on that. Include receiver for PAGER calls. on a text-only basis all this data-cap and band-width limit stuff would not apply

without video there would be no need of an apps library and updates would be restricted to OEM code and this equates to a DRASTIC reduction in the attack surface for virus codes. add authentication for software updates and it gets tighter yet.




By vol7ron on 3/9/2011 11:15:39 PM , Rating: 2
If AOL wanted a comeback, they'd offer a service for home and 4G (one package).

Still the Tablet and Desktop are different tools, but the forecasts is saying, for people that don't really need a PC (those people that might just check email, do a little trivial Excel work, and do their taxes) can get by with a Tablet.

The PC market is still necessary for gamers, graphic designers, engineers, or really any kind of performance demanding situation.

I think with enough information and the right bit of marketing that HTPCs, or home servers, will make a larger push. They might not be typical desktops, but they certainly aren't pushover machines.


By namechamps on 3/7/2011 2:02:55 PM , Rating: 3
Normally I don't really care about grammar and such but leaving out growth changes the entire meaning.

quote:
Gartner significantly lowered its forecast for worldwide PC shipments, from 15.9 percent to 10.5 percent INCREASE for this year, and from 14.8 percent to 13.6 percent INCREASE for 2012, Information Week reports.




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