University recently conducted a study that
shows a minimal number of scientists who do not accept that human
beings have contributed to the Earth's climate change have "far
less expertise and prominence in climate research" than
scientists who do believe climate change has been affected by
university came to these
conclusions by analyzing the number of research papers
published "by more than 900 climate researchers" and the
number of times these researchers' works were cited by other
scientists. The expertise was evaluated by citing the number of
research papers written by scientists (with the minimum number for
inclusion being 20).
was analyzed by finding the four most popular climate change and
non-climate change papers published by scientists, and "tallying"
the number of times these papers were cited. According to the
results, approximately 64 percent of papers by climate researchers
of human contribution were cited more often than those who
are standard academic metrics used when universities are making
hiring or tenure decisions," said William Anderegg, lead author
of a paper published in Proceedings
of the National Academy of Sciences.
scientists who participated in the study were also involved in
creating the 2007 report of the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which compiled and "assessed
the evidence for and against human involvement in climate change, as
well as any climate researchers who signed a major public statement
disagreeing with the findings of the panel's report."
addition, the university's team of scientists decided on who the top
100 climate researchers are by determining the "total number of
climate-related publications each had." According to Anderegg,
97 percent of those in the top 100 agree with and/or endorse the
IPCC's assessment. He also says that this result has been "borne
out" by other studies that use different methodology.
really wanted to bring the expertise dimension into this whole
discussion," said Anderegg. "We hope to put to rest the
notion that keeps being repeated in the media and by some members of
the public that 'the scientists disagree' about whether human
activity is contributing to climate change."
scientists at Stanford have mentioned that they are ready to take
some heat from doubters of anthropogenic, or human-affected, climate
change who "object to their data." But according to Stephen
Schneider, a professor of biology and a coauthor of the paper
of the National Academy of Sciences, the
team "took pains to avoid any sort of prejudice or skewed data
in their analysis." When selecting researchers for the study who
with statements of the IPCC or signed the petitions, the
Stanford team was sure to stay completely neutral in the study by
omitting "those who had no published papers in the climate
says that despite the careful analysis of this study, skeptics of
human-affected climate change will "claim foul" anyway, and
will say that climate researchers who are onboard with the idea of
anthropogenic climate change are "just trying to deny
publication of the doubters' opinion," but he challenges them to
"go out and do a study to prove it -- it is of course not true."
think the most typical criticism of a paper like this -- not
necessarily in academic discourse, but in the broader context -- is
going to be that we haven't addressed these sorts of differences
could be due to some clique or, at the extreme, a conspiracy of the
researchers who are convinced of climate change," Anderegg
you stop to consider whether some sort of 'group think' really
patterns and it could really exist in science in general,
the idea is really pretty laughable," he said. "All of the
incentives in science are exactly the opposite."
Stanford study is the first of its kind to address the issue of
scientists' opinions of human-affected climate change, and what their
level of expertise and prominence in the field is.
quote: The problem is that all Global Warming/Climate Change models predicated on a principle that Earth's temperature is stagnant. Meaning, within a certain time frame, temp is supposed to remain steady and even.
quote: Where do people get this stuff? Yes, the planets temperature changes. NO ONE IS ARGUING OTHERWISE!
quote: Heck, Venus is a pretty good example all by itself: A thick CO2 covering traps in heat [hence why Venus is warmer then even Mercury at the surface, despite significantly less Solar output]. Heck, CO2 is KNOWN beyond any reasonable doubt to trap heat. The only real argument is whether enough of it is being dumped to have an effect on Earth.
quote: Central planning is one of the tenants of a totalitarian regime and if the central planners can rally around a "moral issue" such as global warming then anyone who opposes their controls and caps is the enemy or immoral.
quote: There is many other ways to do that, which is both cheaper, and/or more difficult to disprove
quote: Really, a global conspiracy of global warming is a pretty elaborate trick to pull off just to increase their control over their citizens.
quote: analyzing the number of research papers published "by more than 900 climate researchers" and the number of times these researchers' works were cited by other scientists
quote: People who still deny global warming are only "informed" by Faux News and other mouthpieces of the oil and petroleum industry.
quote: The "investigation" that cleared the UK scientist was a sham, they did nothing more than look at a few articles and agree with them. They didn't look into his emails or his personal computer or even question the guy.
quote: They didn't look into his emails or his personal computer or even question the guy.
quote: Sucks when the facts don't fit your faith huh?
quote: So emails where he is plotting and planning about faking data and discrediting opposing views aren't relevant to an accusation of.... faking evidence and hiding opposing views?
quote: FYI you do know volcanoes spew more carbon in the the atmosphere in ONE eruption than all of humanity combined? huh kinda should shake your faith a bit.
quote: You can't "Go Green" and have a higher standard of living at the same time.
quote: How about we go green and we also improve the standard of living at the same time?
quote: We DO know that this is not "just the cyclical changes that planet experiences".
quote: This is a very complicated system, and there is evidence that "supports" both sides
quote: But the burden of proof is only on ONE side, the side that is claiming "something is happening".
quote: Changes in the Sun's brightness over the past millennium have had only a small effect on Earth's climate, according to a review of existing results and new calculations performed by researchers in the United States, Switzerland, and Germany.
quote: Warming by the Sun and other variations in natural systems cannot explain global warming... The simulations that include only natural variability, including changes in the Sun and eruptions of volcanoes, show that we should have seen a decrease in the global average temperature in the last several decades.The simulations that most closely resemble the observed record are the ones that take the cooling effect of air pollution and the warming effect of greenhouse gases into account.
quote: According to Shindell, the new study also confirms that changing levels of energy from the sun are not a major cause of global warming.Many scientists have argued that the radiation change in a solar cycle — an increase of two to three tenths of a percent over the 20th century — are not strong enough to account for the observed surface temperature increases. The GISS model agrees that the solar increases do not have the ability to cause large global temperature increases, leading Shindell to conclude that greenhouse gasses are indeed playing the dominant role.
quote: I'm no expert in the debate, and would love to hear other opinions on this, but the way I see it is like so;
quote: Do you think it's AGW researchers vs. "The little guy"?
quote: As mentioned before it's exactly the same thing that were happening regarding the tobacco industry and their claims that 'smoking hasn't been proven detrimental to your health'.
quote: "Anyone who believes in it is technically and scientifically incompetent." oh, and you're a Nazi.
quote: Stanford University recently conducted a study that shows a minimal number of scientists who do not accept that human beings have contributed to the Earth's climate change have "far less expertise and prominence in climate research" than scientists who do believe climate change has been affected by humans.
quote: Study says skeptics are not well-informed on the topic
quote: Prominence was analyzed by finding the four most popular climate change and non-climate change papers published by scientists, and "tallying" the number of times these papers were cited
quote: According to the results, approximately 64 percent of papers by climate researchers convinced of human contribution were cited more often than those who are unconvinced.