quote: The article is incorrect. The 2006 GISS study did not examine any actual data. It simply applied computer modelling to simulate future conditions. You can't compare a simulation to actual historical rainfall data...especially given the the fact that GISS modelling has not once yet accurately predicted any climate trend.
quote: used the PDSI as a proxy to measure soil dryness...and it specifically stated the increase in dryness was due primarily to surface warming
quote: The paper concluded there may be in an increased risk of droughts for the future, but it did not measure any actual increase.
quote: Also, when the newest of these research papers is over a year old, I question the presentation of this as "news". The NCAR study was actually first presented for publication in early 2004...an eternity ago in the fast-moving field of climate research.
quote: "another study, released just days before...analyzed the data on rainfall and concluded that worldwide the Earth is undergoing significant drying effects"
quote: didn't analyze rainfall,
quote: made no statement about present conditions
quote: USDA said Delta County, Colorado, was designated a natural primary disaster area because of losses caused by a freeze that occurred in April. Rio Blanco County, Colorado, also was impacted by frost and freezing temperatures in June and drought that is ongoing since May.USDA said Audubon, Crawford, Fremont, Harrison, Monona, Pottawattamie, Polk and Tama counties in Iowa had a freeze in early April...
quote: Were you including this as a joke?
quote: Pick a year, any year at all, and you'll find some regional areas will break records. Hottest temperature, coldest temperature, most rainfall, least rainfall, most storms, fewest storms, etc, etc. This is natural, normal, and in no way indicative of anything at all, other than natural variability.
quote: I agree that some of these are not "record-breakers", but it does show an overall increase in incidence of droughts.
quote: Michael seems to have all the facts in the universe immediately available at his fingertips
quote: The difference between a world that warms 2 degrees and a world that warms 2.07 degrees is too small to measure. Far better to spend that trillion dollars actually helping people.
quote: Its conclusion: global drought increased 25 percent in the 1990s
quote: It also modeled possible future weather scenarios and found that indicated that extreme drought could affect 30 percent of the world's land surface, up from the current span of 3 percent. Severe drought (the next worse) would rise from 8% land area to 40%, and mild drought would rise from 25% to 50%.