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iSuppli predicts steady increase in quad-core processors for desktops systems

In 2006, we saw a steady rise in the shipments of dual core processors for desktop and notebook platforms from both AMD and Intel. This year, that number is expected to grow even further along with a steady creep of quad-core processors into mainstream desktops.

According to the latest figures from iSuppli Corporation, over half of all mainstream desktop computers will feature quad-core processors by the end of 2009. The study cites Intel's Core 2 Quad processors along with AMD's quad-core processors due to be released later this year.

"Quad-core microprocessor technology is coming to the mainstream, and with it is coming capabilities that presently are reserved only for high-end systems," said Matthew Wilkins, a principal analyst for iSuppli. "To put this into context, a quad-core-based PC is very similar to a quad-microprocessor system from the pre-multicore era, such as a workstation or server, which would have been very high-end system, priced well in excess of $10,000."

Quad-core processors accounted for 16 percent of the performance desktop market in the Q1 2007 and are expected to account for 33 percent by year's end. Quad-core processors in the performance desktop market will reach 94 percent penetration by Q4 2009.

The mainstream desktop market is expected to see a slower adoption rate of quad-core processors with a marginal 5 percent share in Q3 2007 which will then rise to 7% for Q4 2007. Penetration in the mainstream desktop market will then rise to 18 percent by the Q4 2008 and reach 49 percent in Q4 2009.

Mainstream desktop PCs range in price from $500 to $1,000 according to iSuppli while performance desktops are priced at $1,000 and up.

Even though the outlook is quite rosy for the quad-core desktop market, iSuppli doesn't foresee similar adoption rates in the notebook sector. By Q4 2009, quad-core processors will be in only 11 percent of mainstream notebook systems ($750 to $2,000).



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Well DUH!
By drebo on 4/18/2007 10:29:11 AM , Rating: 1
If they stop making single and dual core processors in early 2008, of COURSE quad-core processors will increase penetration into all CPU markets. Same thing happened with Dual Cores.

The real question is...does everyone and their mother really even need a quad core processor? The answer is a resounding "NO!"

Oh well...I guess it's a good marketing angle or something...and if it drives the price down...




RE: Well DUH!
By Lazarus Dark on 4/18/2007 10:39:47 AM , Rating: 5
quote:
does everyone and their mother really even need a quad core processor? The answer is a resounding "NO!"

Actually, I was thinking, "yeah, with a quad core, my sisters could download even more spyware onto my mothers comp and it won't slow down, so I won't have to come over and remove it all every month or so." I'm definately getting my mom a quad for christmas now!


RE: Well DUH!
By ADDAvenger on 4/18/2007 10:54:41 AM , Rating: 2
Can you say "multithreaded toolbars"


RE: Well DUH!
By BMFPitt on 4/18/2007 11:03:40 AM , Rating: 2
Hey, at least you will be able to run SpyBot faster. Every 2-3 months when I visit my parents/siblings, the first thing I do is sit down and attempt to clean up their machine. My old 45 minute job could become 25.


RE: Well DUH!
By kamel5547 on 4/18/2007 11:28:45 AM , Rating: 5
Oh don't worry... multi-threaded spyware/adware is on its way. It'll probably be here before most other app vendors manage to upgrade their software :p


RE: Well DUH!
By BMFPitt on 4/18/2007 11:00:14 AM , Rating: 3
Perhaps they have a differing way of defining market penetration, but I thought that meant % of the total installed base. Even if as of today all PCs were quad-core, by the end of 2009 I don't think that will account for 49% . Tech refresh cycles for a majority of people are 3-5 years. I'm sure that quad (and up) cores will be the choice for any new PCs going forward, but I don't see that much reason to make the jump for the web-email-solitaire types that outnumber us DailyTech types by a wide margin.


I love stats . . .
By Rike on 4/18/2007 11:32:51 AM , Rating: 3
Isn't it great how we can know what will happen over 2 years from now? The numbers are all estimates, with margins of say +/- 3%, but we report "49 percent in Q4 2009" as if it was already a done deal. This is not bashing on DT, as virtually every media outlet does this; it just makes me laugh at how easily I can swallow stats like this and then restate them as if I had first hand knowledge from the future about the way things will go.

Regarding stats like this, an engineer friend of mine likes to say, "It has a high degree of precision, but very little accuracy.”

BTW, here’s a link to iSuppli’s press release/advertisement:
http://www.isuppli.com/news/default.asp?id=7806




RE: I love stats . . .
By therealnickdanger on 4/18/2007 3:02:06 PM , Rating: 5
It seems like ALL Intel news is from the future nowadays. If I didn't know better, I would say that Intel has invented time travel and didn't tell anyone yet.


Definitions?
By peldor on 4/18/2007 9:14:19 AM , Rating: 2
IIRC, it's "Performance" > $1000, "Mainstream" $500-$1000




RE: Definitions?
By sdsdv10 on 4/18/2007 10:14:32 AM , Rating: 3
Not sure if the changed/corrected the article, but isn't that exactly what they wrote?

quote:
Clipped from article...
Mainstream desktop PCs range in price from $500 to $1,000 according to iSuppli while performance desktops are priced at $1,000 and up.


RE: Definitions?
By tedrodai on 4/18/2007 11:39:22 AM , Rating: 2
If you're nit-picky, you can't include the exact $1,000 price tag in both ranges. He was saying basically performance is $1,001 and up, while mainstream is $500-$1k.


We don't know how to make a $500 computer that's not a piece of junk." -- Apple CEO Steve Jobs














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