 Windows 7 licenses are selling at a record pace, driving Microsoft to its highest profits ever... (Source: Oli Scarff/Getty Images Europe)
 ...but Microsoft's stock is languishing. Some investors are even calling for chief executive Steve Ballmer's (pictured) resignation. (Source: Reuters)
Company struggles to find love from investors, even as it is a huge market hit
Perhaps no tech company is as recognizable
internationally -- for better or worse -- than Microsoft Corp. (MSFT). The veteran firm's operating systems run billions of
computers worldwide, and it makes the world's second
best-selling video game console to boot.
But where Microsoft has dominated in sales, it's
struggled in expansion and image. Between 1991 and 2001 Microsoft grew 12
fold in revenue. Between 2001 and 2011 it grew only 2.5 times.
Microsoft is facing much the problem of the
British Empire at its peak in the Victorian era -- whither to expand?
Microsoft has found success in the console/video game market, but it's other
efforts -- tablets, smartphones, internet advertising, MP3 players, etc. --
have been money sinks and have failed to generate significant market share.
This struggle has led investors
to forsake Microsoft. The company is expected to report record yearly
revenue of $70B USD and record profit of $22B USD in profit, for its fiscal
year 2011 (calendar Q3 2010 - Q2 2011). Stock prices have only risen 6
percent, approximately during that year, even as profits are expected to rise
22 percent. Perhaps investors are waiting for the actual numbers to land,
but there seems to be a definite antipathetic sentiment when it comes to
Microsoft's stock.
That has allowed rival Apple, Inc. (AAPL) to depose it as the
biggest market cap stock in the tech industry. To put that in
perspective, Apple sells fewer products than Microsoft in units. Windows
7 license sales recently hit
400 million for the year, meaning Microsoft likely sold around 200 million
licenses in the last year. Meanwhile, Microsoft is expected to sell around
20-25 million Xbox 360s. Microsoft won't reveal exact Microsoft Office
2010 sales figures, but it's estimated to be in the tens of millions as well.
This stands in contrast to Apple who is on
track to move somewhere around 70 to 80 million iPhones, 15
million Macs, and 35 million iPads for its fiscal year, which ends in
September. In other words, Apple moves about 125 million products a year
give or take a few million, while Microsoft moves roughly two to three times
that. Yet Apple is looking to outpace Microsoft in profits by as much as
50 percent.
Microsoft's underlying issue is that its profit
margins are good, but not great. So even though most people in the world
have access to one of its products, it's still not financially the market
juggernaut some would wish it to be.
And then there's the issue of the perception that
Microsoft is falling behind the curve, in terms of technology. This
perception largely owes to Microsoft widely
publicized internet and mobile device struggles.
Bruce Ventimiglia, Chief Executive Officer at fund
manager Saratoga Capital Management comments in Reuters piece,
"We have concerns about Microsoft. As we look at Google and others
attacking their business lines, our view over the long run is that it's going
to erode margins. Microsoft is not moving as forcefully in the tech space as
we'd like to see."
Such sentiments were echoed by prominent David
Einhorn, who demanded
chief executive Steve Ballmer's head for the
lackluster stock performance. The bid failed -- Microsoft's board backed
Mr. Ballmer and rebuffed
the calls for his resignation. But the challenge put the topic of
leadership change into serious discussion.
Microsoft arguably is the world's most used tech
firm (though Google Inc. (GOOG) and
Facebook could also perhaps lay claim to that title). But investors
are by and large writing it off. As the brutish, brooding divisive chief,
Mr. Ballmer, might echo in the words of late Rodney Dangerfield, "[We]
don't get no respect!"
"Spreading the rumors, it's very easy because the people who write about Apple want that story, and you can claim its credible because you spoke to someone at Apple." -- Investment guru Jim Cramer
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