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Intel and Seagate are believed to be considering SanDisk

With demand in the NAND industry down thanks to an oversupply of NAND on the market and a general softness in the technology industry, NAND makers are feeling the pinch. SanDisk is one of the firms that is seeing drastically lower stock prices and has rumors of a takeover swirling about.

We know SanDisk is interested in being sold, as evidenced by the ongoing talks it has had with Samsung about a purchase. SanDisk's board unanimously turned down the Samsung offer which represented a 93% premium on SanDisk's stock price. SanDisk feels that Samsung is trying to take advantage of its depressed stock, while Samsung maintains that SanDisk has unrealistic expectations given the current market. Many outside the two companies feel that SanDisk is channeling a bit of Yahoo CEO Jerry Yang in its negotiations.

The SanDisk acquisition saga may be over for Samsung (for now), but according to eWeek, the potential list of buyers for SanDisk has increased. Tom Coughlin of Coughlin Associates told eWeek, "Once the word gets out there that a good company like SanDisk is having trouble and might be available, this kind of thing happens. It's going to be interesting to see what will actually take place."

New names thrown into ring as suitors for SanDisk include Intel and Seagate. According to eWeek, Intel was a name mentioned as a possibility but it seems that rumor has little weight at this time. The more likely buyer of SanDisk would be Seagate. Seagate already holds the title of world's largest hard drive maker. Seagate CEO Bill Watkins has publically said that he wasn't interested in adding SanDisk to the Seagate portfolio.

Analysts in the industry disagree with Watkins though. Coughlin added that, "It would make good sense for Seagate, at least from where I stand. Seagate wants to be a major NAND flash player. They don't have access to the [Far East] fab plants, as SanDisk does. They also don't have the patents that SanDisk does. It's strictly speculation, of course, but I think it's a possibility."



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The plot thickens...
By quiksilvr on 9/19/2008 12:54:47 PM , Rating: 5
This is more confusing than that time Steven Colbert tried to explain AT&T takeover of Cingular:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I6nuwQmhrZ8




Imagine imagine...
By Lonyo on 9/19/2008 6:33:29 PM , Rating: 2
Imagine if Apple made a bid for Sandisk.
Lots of NAND production in house for iPods/iPhones, plus they could leverage their SSD stuff and put it into more laptops and be at the very cutting edge more than currently, and get extra profits through being the producer of what they are selling.

Plus Apple has a buttload of cash on hand sitting doing nothing, what a potentially great investment.
Of course, it might be risky because they don't have much experience in making NAND flash, but in terms of being in control of their hardware, it would give them even more control over what they are making, and less dependent on the prices set by outside parties.




RE: Imagine imagine...
By semo on 9/20/2008 5:09:32 PM , Rating: 2
you can say the same about dell or hp


Would be interesting
By captainBOB on 9/20/2008 12:08:28 AM , Rating: 2
If intel bought SanDisk, their SSDs are making waves so it woud be logical for intel to buy the company who is an expert in flash, with intel's expertise with microchips and sandisk's flash technology intel can become the Microsoft of SSDs :P




Business savvy
By Fnoob on 9/19/08, Rating: -1
RE: Business savvy
By iVTec on 9/19/2008 2:49:43 PM , Rating: 2
You do,if you know that there'll be more offers coming...Of course,there's always a chance u might "pull a Yahoo",is it a risk worth taking?


RE: Business savvy
By Oregonian2 on 9/19/2008 7:51:31 PM , Rating: 2
The question isn't about negotiations and who else may buy you because you're a basket case with no hope of getting better. If the oversupply of flash subsides by having demand get ahead of supply (like, say, in SSD's catching on) Sandisk will be flying again. I think all the other flash makers are in the same situation only many if not all of the others have major other businesses that disguise their financial situations that affect their stock prices. Sandisk has some other businesses, but flash dominates. With Yahoo there wasn't the expectation that they'll get better in time, with Sandisk it very well may (or possibly not -- that's the real question).


RE: Business savvy
By JasonMick (blog) on 9/19/2008 2:51:08 PM , Rating: 4
quote:

"You got to know when to hold em, know when to fold em,
Know when to walk away and know when to run.
You never count your money when youre sittin' at the table.
There'll be time enough for countin' when the dealing's done."


Some of these corporate dealings like this and the Microsoft/Yahoo one come down to the business version of classic gambling addiction, where you're always holding on thinking you're going to have a huge payday and aren't smart enough to call it quits while you're ahead.


RE: Business savvy
By Xenon14 on 9/19/2008 3:29:03 PM , Rating: 2
You, sir, are mistaken.

First, Samsung came to them back in May and offerend them a signficant premium to their current public offer. Sandisk's stock was doing better back then too. Not sure what the price was, but probably $35-$45/share. So to accept an offer for $26, when you've recently turned down a higher offer will be hard to do. Secondly, market just collapsed, obviously valuations on stocks in general will be lower. Third, you've obviuosly never negotiated before.


RE: Business savvy
By Fnoob on 9/19/2008 3:42:30 PM , Rating: 2
"obviuosly never negotiated before."

obviuosly neither has Jerry Yang ;)


RE: Business savvy
By PandaBear on 10/6/2008 4:24:34 PM , Rating: 2
Eli (the CEO) send out a public letter saying that when stock was $28, Samsung approach and offer to buy with a "premium". However they request to see some confidential document first and to postpone the talk about future IP/patent licensing contract until after the merging.

At the time SanDisk was worth $4B, and Samsung alone pay royalty of $400M a year.

SanDisk tell them no to both. So Samsung wait till stock price is $16 to offer a price of $26.

SanDisk and Toshiba is shipping 3 bit per cell MLC, everyone else in the industry is shipping 2 bit per cell MLC. Hynix is the worst, still struggling to ship 2 bit per cell MLC.

Now tell me, if 2 bit per cell royalty alone is already $400M a year, how much will Samsung be raped to pay for 3 bit per cell royalty? Way more.

It has billion in the bank as cash reserve so it can weather the storm and isn't forced to sell. It has 3D memory in the pipeline that could potentially generate way more than anything in the market right now.

Do you still think Sandisk is only worth $26 a share?


“And I don't know why [Apple is] acting like it’s superior. I don't even get it. What are they trying to say?” -- Bill Gates on the Mac ads














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