 Dropping NAND prices may mean lower costs for consumer SSDs (Source: OCZ)
Chepaer NAND costs may drive SSD prices down
The
SSD may be faster and offer power savings compared to the traditional
HDD, but a few downsides to SSDs have kept them from overtaking the
traditional HDD in the consumer market. Those downsides include lower
capacities and higher costs.
The NAND flash memory that is
integral to the SSD is set to see prices drop reports iSuppli.
The iSuppli report
predicts that pricing on 3-bit per cell NAND flash will drop to the
range of $1 per gigabyte. That is the range when analysts predict
that SSDs will be able to compete with HDDs on price and may signal
the increased adoption of the SSD by the general consumer.
Analyst
Michael Yang from iSuppli pegs the price of 1GB TLC NAND flash memory
would average $1.20 for the entire fourth quarter of 2010 and then
decrease to the $1 mark by the beginning of 2011. If the price hits
the $1 mark it will be a huge decrease in prices since the start of
2010 with the same 1GB of NAND was selling in the $1.80 range.
Yang
said, "When NAND pricing first fell below the $1 level at the
end of 2008, many observers opined that this would sound the starting
gun for solid state storage, allowing the technology to be cost
competitive with Hard Disk Drives (HDDs) in PCs for the first time.
However, during the following quarters, pricing rose because of
strong demand and constrained production capacity, limiting the
appeal of SSDs to low-volume servers in data centers and preventing
widespread adoption in high-volume business and consumer PCs."
Yang
also stated that for the SSD to be price competitive with the
traditional HDD the cost of 1GB of NAND would need to decline to the
range of $0.40 per gigabyte by 2012. At that price for a gigabyte of
NAND, the cost of a 100GB SSD with the supporting electronics would
be $50.
Yang continued, adding, "With NAND pricing having
returned to per-gigabyte pricing levels not seen in two years,
there’s likely to be a lot of new buzz created for the solid state
storage market at the end of 2010. However, traditional HDDs gained a
lot of additional ground during the past few years in terms of rising
capacity and falling prices. In fact, HDDs have gained so much ground
that SSDs now are in danger of never regaining their competitive
footing."
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