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Nokia Symbian OS (and by proxy, Microsoft's Windows Phone 7, which will replace it) appear the only major competitors to Android's dominance. However, Nokia has bled over half its smart phone market share away in the last year.  (Source: 360 East)

Once the hottest star, Apple has been unable to keep up with Android.  (Source: TipB)
Google has over twice the market share of Apple or RIM

Once Google Inc. (GOOG) fantasized about merely transforming its Android operating system into a legitimate competitor to Research in Motion Ltd. (RIM) and Apple, Inc. (AAPL).  In a couple of years that dream was realized.  Rising meteorically, Android has become the “Windows” of the smartphone world, found on hundreds of phone models, including the most cutting edge hardware on the market.

According to a report by market research firm Gartner, Inc. (IT) in calendar Q1 2011 Google's operating system seized 36 percent of the world market, almost quadrupling the 9.6 percent market share it held a year ago.  By contrast Apple's iOS sat in third place with a mere 16.8 percent and RIM owned only 13 percent of the market.

The only major competition to Android's dominance appears to be Finland's Nokia Oyj. (NOK), whose Symbian OS picked up 27.4 percent of the market.  Nokia will be transferring that market share into the trust of Windows Phone 7 (WP7) over the next year, leaving WP7 almost certain to be the world's #2 smartphone operating system.  

WP7 maker Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) badly needs the help.  Despite having one of the most innovative interfaces on the market, it managed to seize a mere 3.6 percent of the market.

For Microsoft the path seems clear -- pick up Nokia's market share and try to replicate the success it found in the world of personal computers with its Windows operating system.  

For Apple and RIM, the answers aren't as easy.  Both players risk fading into the periphery as Apple did in the personal computer market years ago.  A major factor driving this is both firms' failure to license their operating systems to third party device makers.  Customers only have one handset -- in Apple's case -- or a handful of handsets -- in RIM's case -- to look forward to yearly, so naturally gravitate to the more diverse Android and Symbian offerings.

A major factor allowing Apple to cling to its third place position is its strong app support.  Gartner analyst Robert Cozza comments, "This is a clear advantage for the current stronger ecosystem owners Apple and Google."

But despite Apple presenting a very inviting platform to developers, it seems inevitable that developers will migrate to platforms with more users -- namely Android (and Windows Phone 7, soon).  As this happens, the company risks further minimization.

Still Apple can take comfort in the fact that it was the only major player besides Google to post share gains.  It sold 16.8 million iPhones in Q1 2011, over twice the 8.2 million it sold in Q1 2010.  

By contrast Symbian saw sales slide from 44.2 percent of the market a year ago, RIM dropped from 19.6 percent a year back, and Microsoft dropped from 6.8 percent a year prior.

In total 23.6 percent of the 427.8 million phones sold in Q1 2011 were smartphones, according to Gartner.



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Transform nokia's marketshare to WP7?
By Dribble on 5/20/2011 10:49:10 AM , Rating: 5
quote:
Nokia will be transferring that market share into the trust of Windows Phone 7 (WP7) over the next year, leaving WP7 almost certain to be the world's #2 smartphone operating system

What are they going to do - take the symbian phones out of peoples hands and stick a WP7 one in there?

People will finish with the symbian phone and then look at the marketplace and probably buy android - there is no *transferral*. The only loyalty would have been to symbian, if that's gone people will buy whatever they like.




RE: Transform nokia's marketshare to WP7?
By dani31 on 5/20/2011 11:01:56 AM , Rating: 3
Actually I think Nokia has better loyalty than Symbian. Think Nokia 6310i and other pre-Symbian phones. People buy Nokia because it was the synonim of the mobile phone for a couple of decades, not because of Symbian.

In that respect I think that the article has a point.


RE: Transform nokia's marketshare to WP7?
By michael2k on 5/20/2011 11:15:39 AM , Rating: 2
Then how do you explain the current drop in market share? Their current shift towards iOS and Android?


RE: Transform nokia's marketshare to WP7?
By niva on 5/20/2011 1:27:21 PM , Rating: 2
Easily explainable by the fact symbian is dead and obsolete when compared to android and IOS. On the other hand the Nokia hardware with win7phone OS may get purchased because of Nokia brand recognition.

I'm sure many people will leave Nokia though, the company has completely changed it's face. If they get half the customers they've had before it would be a huge win for Microsoft though.


By Solandri on 5/20/2011 2:18:56 PM , Rating: 2
I'm trying to find the article but can't. About year ago there was a breakdown of phone OS sales both as a % and as raw numbers. While Android and iOS were gaining in market share, all OSes except for WinCE/WinMo actually increased in raw numbers.

So it's not necessarily that people are abandoning RIM and Nokia. It's that lots of people who never had a smartphone before are getting one, and they're predominantly choosing Android with iOS a distant second.


By Ushio01 on 5/20/2011 8:31:49 PM , Rating: 2
Er Nokia's smartphone sales are increasing it's just one company can't beat 30+ companies selling android phones.

As to Gartner's market share results.

While analyst figures are interesting there also meaningless for example compare Gartner and IDC 1st quarter 2011 figures

http://www.idc.com/getdoc.jsp?...

http://www.gartner.com/it/page...

The discrepancy between overall worldwide phone sales from the 2 is a wopping 56 MILLION handsets. Thats 6 MILLION more than the population of South Africa or DOUBLE the population of Malaysia.


RE: Transform nokia's marketshare to WP7?
By Azethoth on 5/21/2011 2:20:41 AM , Rating: 2
Wrong, I had a Nokia until I bought a moto Razr. I had Razrs until I bought an iPhone 1. Sure there are fanboys but thats a minority. You go into the store wanting to buy something shiny you crave, or you buy something the sales person sells you on which is whatever makes them the most commission.

Just talk to people. They crave an iPhone / Android but cannot afford one. Soon as they can its bye bye nokia / rim etc.


By mcnabney on 5/21/2011 10:53:50 AM , Rating: 2
Androids are released at every price point, which might explain what you are saying. Feature-phone customers can actually afford one.


RE: Transform nokia's marketshare to WP7?
By cjohnson2136 on 5/20/2011 11:02:09 AM , Rating: 2
Maybe they are thinking that people that like nokia phones will continue using nokia phones


By Aloonatic on 5/20/2011 11:08:28 AM , Rating: 1
You're probably right, but they are probably 3 or 4 years too late if that is what they are thinking. In the UK anyway.

The thing is, I know a lot of people who have been loyal Nokia users for a long time, until Symbian began to show up on more and more of their top "smart-ish" phones and all that did was made Nokia's look like a backwards/retarded/cheap option compared to iPhones and Android phones.

The only people I know who use Nokia phones now are people who want a "dumb" phone, as that is what Nokia do very well. If people want a smartphone, the vast majority have already got an iPhone or an Android phone, and some might have a Windows phone, but I've yet to see anyone with one over here in the UK.


By Da W on 5/20/2011 11:10:28 AM , Rating: 2
There's more than that. There's the whole supply chain, sales people, agreement with various carriers around the world, marketing dollars and know-how. I mean, Nokia ain't going to zero in one year time because they switch to WP7. Androind ain't THAT supperior.


RE: Transform nokia's marketshare to WP7?
By Suntan on 5/20/2011 11:57:54 AM , Rating: 2
quote:
Maybe they are thinking that people that like nokia phones will continue using nokia phones


Or that people who would prefer to have a Nokia because they really liked them in the past, but grew tiried of the stale OS offerred and moved to some other phone for a contract period, will come back once WP7 gets rolling on nokia phones.

-Suntan


By themaster08 on 5/20/2011 12:22:42 PM , Rating: 2
That's a good point. I was a long time fan of Nokia, and even Symbian for that matter, however in recent years it has really shown its age, and has shown no signs of any progression in terms of fluidity, responsiveness and ease-of-use.

I recently switched from a Nokia N8 (which I was immensely disappointed with, with the exception of the camera) to an LG Optimus 7. I have found Windows Phone 7 to be a brilliant OS with lots of potential, which Microsoft seem to be fulfilling.

Still being a fan of Nokia's hardware I am eagerly anticipating a Nokia Windows Phone, and shall purchase one if it is up to scratch (which I believe it will). Nokia's hardware is robust, their designs are excellent, and Windows Phone is a fantastic OS. This is exactly what Nokia needed.


I like to believe
By Da W on 5/20/2011 11:02:13 AM , Rating: 1
Good product should sell. Windows Phone IS a good product, only an idiot fanboy couldn't see that. It SHOULD sell better than it does now.




RE: I like to believe
By KoolAidMan1 on 5/20/2011 12:48:20 PM , Rating: 3
You're right, WP7 should absolutely sell better than it is. It is the first legit competition to the iPhone in terms of UI, smoothness, and fit & finish. Things like applications are coming right along for the platform. Android still feels second rate compared to iOS or WP7, and I reckon the only reason it is doing as well as it is is because it is on every carrier on handsets that occupy every price range. It certainly isn't for quality reasons.

People can tout "open" all they want (despite the fact that rooting is required in almost all cases since handset manufacturers and service providers are responsible for updates), but "closed" systems like iOS, WP7, and even WebOS provide superior user experiences when it comes to these handheld devices.


Nokia isnt automatically going to make WP7 #2
By jnemesh on 5/20/2011 11:29:05 AM , Rating: 2
It is HIGHLY optimistic to state that Nokia's shift away from Symibian will automatically equate to a number 2 position for Windows Phone 7. WP7 is selling in 3 months what Android sells in 3 DAYS, and it commands less than 2% of the smartphone market, despite high end phones from several manufacturers and an aggressive advertising campaign. Yes, Nokia will probably add SOMETHING, but my guess is the overall number will be less than 10% by this time next year.




By TakinYourPoints on 5/20/2011 4:08:35 PM , Rating: 2
I agree, it is overly optimistic, which is too bad because WP7 is a good mobile OS


I just...
By Souka on 5/20/2011 4:05:49 PM , Rating: 3
I just like the pic on this post... thanks Jason!




So....
By FITCamaro on 5/20/2011 1:02:01 PM , Rating: 2
Are they complaining that the iPod has 90+% of the MP3 market too?




Android us the unstoppable train.
By Mr772 on 5/21/2011 6:44:05 PM , Rating: 2
In the end Android will be the largest market share holder. It will run everything: your house, cars, tosters, bicycles, HVAC systems.... then the world.

And the government will have backdoor access to every moment of your life.
Enjoy.




Facepalm
By messele on 5/20/2011 2:31:25 PM , Rating: 1
quote:
A major factor driving this is both firms' failure to license their operating systems to third party device makers.


Expert analysis of the situation as always.

It wouldn't have anything to do with Android being installed on every phone from the crummiest piece of shit all the way up, through the important price points, to the premium stuff. I'm sure everybody is excited not to be growing their business in any meaningful way.

I'm also sure Apple and RIM are sat there with their cheque books open ready to compete with each other for your expert services...




Apple is doomed :)
By Tony Swash on 5/21/11, Rating: 0
proofread
By khaydin on 5/20/11, Rating: -1
RE: proofread
By Dorkyman on 5/20/2011 12:00:01 PM , Rating: 3
No, the statement is correct as written.

The statement would have been more complete if he had added, "In addition, 76.4 of the other smart phones were also smartphones."


RE: proofread
By Dumesh on 5/20/2011 4:52:32 PM , Rating: 2
quote:
"In addition, 76.4 of the other smart phones were also smartphones."


Don't neglect the remaining 18.0304% of smartphones sold, which were also, in fact, smartphones.


RE: proofread
By geekman1024 on 5/21/2011 12:35:21 AM , Rating: 1
All of those phones, regardless of being smart or dumb, are smartphones.

So, there are smart smartphones and dumb smartphones. Wow,Gartner has made some ground breaking discovery in smartphone species research.


"I modded down, down, down, and the flames went higher." -- Sven Olsen














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