column this week detailed the work of a volunteer team to assess problems
with US temperature data used for climate modeling. One of these people is
Steve McIntyre, who operates the site climateaudit.org. While
inspecting historical temperature graphs, he noticed a strange discontinuity,
or "jump" in many locations, all occurring around the time of
These graphs were created by NASA's Reto Ruedy and James Hansen (who shot to
fame when he accused the administration of trying to censor his views on
climate change). Hansen refused to provide McKintyre with the algorithm used to
generate graph data, so McKintyre reverse-engineered it. The result appeared to
be a Y2K bug in the handling of the raw data.
McKintyre notified the pair of the bug; Ruedy replied and acknowledged the
problem as an "oversight" that would be fixed in the next data
NASA has now silently released corrected figures,
and the changes are truly astounding. The warmest year on record is now 1934.
1998 (long trumpeted by the media as record-breaking) moves to second
place. 1921 takes third. In fact, 5 of the 10 warmest years on record now
all occur before World War II. Anthony
Watts has put the new data in chart form, along with a more detailed summary
of the events.
The effect of the correction on global
temperatures is minor (some 1-2% less warming than originally thought), but the
effect on the U.S. global warming propaganda machine could be huge.
Then again -- maybe not. I strongly suspect this story will receive little to no
attention from the mainstream media.
quote: BTW acting on incomplete data that can save something as big as the overall environment is not fool hardy. It may be premature but never foolish.
quote: Plus did you ever think how much money you could save if you used only compact fluorescent lights?Average life of a standard light bulb is about 60 hours, a compact fluorescent is 5 years. You pay three times more for a compact Fluorescent, and it uses 1/10th the power. Over the five years of the bulb you have saved how much?
quote: WTF does this have to do with the price of tea in China?
quote: We were told we needed to ban DDT immediately, while we still had any birds left.So act we did, and the resultant surge in malaria rates resulted in the deaths of millions worldwide.
quote: But initiatives like Kyoto will result in trillions of dollars of cost.
quote: We have children dying in parts of the world for want of a 50 cent medical treatment...and instead of providing them the means to improve their standard of living, we're telling them to waste billions on windmill farms and biofuel plants?
quote: The only feasible method we have to drastically reduce carbon emissions without destroying our economies is nuclear power-- and that's an option no one seems to want to consider.
quote: Look at the warming during the Medieval Climate Optimum for a past example
quote: Meanwhile, we're doing everything in our power to deny the Third World the benefits of cheap energy
quote: Sri Lanka (then Ceylon) used DDT from the 1940s to 1964. Malarial cases dropped from nearly 3 million/year down less than 20/year. Within 5 years of halting DDT spraying, malarial rates topped 2 million/year.
quote: Sri Lanka went back to the spray guns, reducing malaria once more to 150,000 cases in 1972; but there the attack stalled. Anopheles culicifacies, completely susceptible to DDT when the spray stopped in 1964, was now found resistant presumably because of the use of DDT for crop protection in the interim. Within a couple of years, so many culicifacies survived that despite the spraying malaria spread in 1975 to more than 400,000 people.
quote: Had Sri Lanka (and just as importantly, its neighbors) not halted their spraying programs, it is likely they would have fully eradicated the disease.
quote: Kyoto's emissions targets don't apply to developing nations.
quote: Kyoto would not have imposed the claimed burden on developing nations.
quote: Therefore, CO2 caps on Africa -> unnecessary poverty, death, and disease.
quote: if I had to choose between feeding starving families in Darfur or preventing 1 inch of the arctic from melting, I'm choosing to feed the hungry in Darfur
quote: Mr. Asher's posts ...counter-point angle ... often overlooked in mainstream media.
quote: We've had articles with almost half the refer traffic from NASA and NOAA.
quote: go hog-wild and become obviously defensive
quote: So Masher continues to insult the hundreds of scientists out there
quote: Bear in mind that if the catastrophic global warming predictions do come true (it's not clear yet if they will), the quality of life for billions will be affected and it will even impact many of you reading this.
quote: Is he just lashing out at successful scientists because he couldn't get through grad school?
quote: A version of "An Incomplete Truth" that had every detail of climate science and the uncertainties behind it would work as well as a motion picture with a dictionary as the screenplay.
quote: One can bring a partisan to the water but can't make them drink.
quote: in fact would be worse if not for the tax cuts
quote: Budget deficits are a separate issue from the economy
quote: And I have no idea what "Did the invisible hand touch you as a child?" is supposed to mean.
quote: This is the sort of information that is abused by those who for some bizarre reason oppose global warming.
quote: We have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic statements, and make little mention of any doubts we might have… Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being honest.
quote: The amount of funding for scientists who *do* believe in global warming far outweighs the tiny amount given to skeptics-- by some $50B dollars, in fact, according to statistics from the Senate EPW.
quote: it's a .gov.. and has supporting links.
quote: it essentially calls Newsweek a bunch of liberal global-warming pandering fanatics
quote: Of course, the entire North Pole can melt without affecting sea level at all.
quote: The South Pole, on the other hand, would dramatically affect sea levels...but the most recent measurements seem to indicate its gaining mass.
quote: In fact, 5 of the 10 warmest years on record now all occur before World War II.
quote: We are both correct, but are looking at different data
quote: I strongly suspect this story will receive little to no attention from the mainstream media.
quote: I have trouble believing that most people in the western world do not have an extra $50 to spend
quote: it is failing to mention the fact that the middle-age warm period was no way near as warm, even locally in the affected regions, as it is today
quote: If global warming was only becoming progressively worse... wouldn't each successive year be worse than the last?
quote: (1921, 1931, 1934, 1938). Last I checked, 4 is less than half of ten :-)
quote: this is merely indicating that, in the US, lately it's been the hottest it's been since the "dust bowl" years. That's not a pleasant thought
quote: Finally, the error changes the GLOBAL pattern insignificantly, and the global trend in the last couple of decades is greater than the USA trend. In all, it's a worthwhile error to catch for the US data, but it doesn't change much about the overall pattern.
quote: It is sad that kids in schools are having the global warming crap forced down their throats.
quote: How short-sighted. What those of us that question this frenzy are saying is NOT that we should stop trying to act responsibly concerning the environement-that has never been said by ANYONE who's questioning the data. That hyperbole comes from the other side, in this manner "If you question this, then your an ass and irresponsible".