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Apple's $1,800 MacBook Air.

Apple's iMac starts at $1,200.
The Apple monster keeps sating its appetite for growth on the pc retail market

Somewhere, Apple CEO Steve Jobs must be smiling.  The iconic and controversial electronics figure, rarely skips a beat in his tireless promotion of the Mac computer.  Q1 2008 also brought some very impressive numbers for Apple.

This time it wasn't Jobs who was hailing the Mac's market turnaround, but NPD, fresh off their latest number crunching.  In Q1 2008, Macs overall took 14 percent of the market for personal computers, and took a whopping 66 percent of the lucrative $1,000+ personal computer market.  On the desktop side of things, Apple owned a 14 percent overall retail share, and 70 percent share of the $1,000+ sales.  For notebooks, the sales were 14 percent and 64 percent respectively.

Stephen Baker, NPD's vice president of industry analysis pats Apple on the back for its impressive numbers and gives a stick to Windows PC makers.  He states, "In notebooks [Apple is] growing two times the market; Windows notebooks are pretty much flat right now."

Apple notebooks, according to Baker, are up 50 to 60 percent from Q1 of last year, while Windows notebooks show virtually zero percent growth.  On the desktop side of things, Baker states, "They're up 45 percent.  The [overall] market is down 20 percent. Windows desktops would be down 25 percent."

Baker comment glibly, "iMacs are growing and the Windows desktop ain't. No matter how you look at it, Apple is outperforming Windows."

Some would be quick to point the finger at Microsoft and Windows Vista.  Vista has earned substantial criticism, though some supporters ardently defend it.  However, love it or hate it, Baker doesn't think Vista is a big factor.  He states, "I don't believe that Vista's to blame.  The vast majority of consumers don't care [about the installed operating system]."

What is the key to the Mac's success, particularly in the high-end market?  Baker says part of it is due to the fact that, besides the Mac Mini, all Mac's are priced at over $1,000.  Baker states, "If you don't give people a choice, people will spend more."

He sees the growth of Mac sales as a sign of consumers making emotional decisions.  He argues that the average consumer doesn't care so much about features, but cares more about how they feel the overall experience of the computer will be.  He states, "Consumers don't care about features.  People see a value proposition in an offering that gives them a great experience."

Baker also says that Apple is cashing in via improved retail store presence, including benefits from increased business at its own stores.  He says, "Apple has got better distribution than it's had in the last 15 years.  They're in the right spot right now. There's the iPod advantage. But the big thing is the stores."

Apple stores, he says make the customer feel like they are the recipient of individual attention.  Says Baker, "What Apple drives home: This is a product that we own from factory to finger.  We exert some control so that you get the best experience. When you get in the store, we get you what you want."

The next logical question, Baker says is, "[Apple has] already won when somebody comes into the Apple Store.  How does it play in places where they're not the only answer? How big a handicap is Windows?"

Therein lays the key to Apple's success in Baker's mind -- "captive channels".  He advocates that if Microsoft hopes to remain successful it should follow in suit, opening at least a small chain of Microsoft stores.  He states, offering an analogy to the fashion industry, "In a multi-channel environment you should have some kind of owned--and operated--channel as well.  When you look at Coach they have their own showcase stores as well."

Apple's strong sales will likely be fodder for more debate among detractors and fans.  However, Baker provides an interesting third-party perspective from the firm watching all the numbers.  While his suggestion of a Microsoft store certainly seems outlandish, stranger things have happened.



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Not surprised
By TheDiceman on 5/20/2008 3:59:23 PM , Rating: 5
I happen to service Macs for a living for a company that sells several different brands of computers and I am not at all surprised by the high sales. I have witnessed first hand how much Apple product well move over everything else. I have also seen the durability of the Apple hardware decline over the past two years.

Yet when I go home every night, i sit in front of an XP machine (self built of course). Mind you I happen to really like OS X, but still cannot justify the cost of an Apple unit over something i can upgrade myself (also I am a gamer and Mac still can't game over the long term).




RE: Not surprised
By mondo1234 on 5/20/2008 4:04:13 PM , Rating: 2
With all of the companies losing money right now, at least some one is not complaining about the economy...


RE: Not surprised
By Ringold on 5/20/2008 5:09:12 PM , Rating: 4
So far, really only some banks that are "losing money." HP just reported a great quarter too.


RE: Not surprised
By BoxCutterLou on 5/20/2008 4:09:47 PM , Rating: 3
quote:
What is the key to the Mac's success, particularly in the high-end market? Baker says part of it is due to the fact that, besides the Mac Mini, all Mac's are priced at over $1,000. Baker states, "If you don't give people a choice, people will spend more."


Ok, that has to be taken out of contex, that or Apple has a really piss poor business model. I'm no expert but I am a consumer. I was going to buy an apple instead of windows once, then I learned apple won't let you build your own. I also considered buying OEM, but not if there going to be arrogant. How proprietary can you really get?

I'm a windows guy, only becuase I play games. Unbuntu on another machine but I find myself reading more about how to use it rathere than really using it. Now common Jobs and open up the business and let us build.


RE: Not surprised
By MRwizard on 5/20/2008 9:37:11 PM , Rating: 1
reason being why apple won't let you build your own is because the OS is built FOR specific hardware. which is why it generally works so well (since they started using intel hardware, noy sure about before that)
what you are asking is for another microsoft company; lots of service packs, lots of driver issues, lots of bugs etc etc.

And going from the history on apple, i think microsoft would beat them solid

Personally, i hope apple won't ever go the microsoft way. i enjoy PC's way more, but if i ever do need a task specific machine eg. 3d rendering beast, i'll go mac


RE: Not surprised
By jonmcc33 on 5/21/2008 7:27:18 AM , Rating: 2
That doesn't mean you cannot build one with Apple certified parts. Just as much as Microsoft puts their stamp of approval on certain hardware because it passes their requirements Apple can do the same.

Doesn't matter. Must I say another nasty Jason Mick article doing anything he can to bash Windows? This guy has it in for anything Windows. I'd take his word with a grain of salt.


RE: Not surprised
By Pirks on 5/20/2008 4:13:10 PM , Rating: 1
Yeah, you can't justify, but you are a techie and techies are a minority. Most consumers don't know #hit about computers so they don't upgrade or play any 3D computer games with beautiful graphics. Apple caters to this really large market, and does it very well, judging by the ever growing sales numbers. If tech literate consumers were the majority of the market - then Apple would sell inexepensive upgradeable ATX towers for sure. Alas, this is not the case, tech-illiterate consumers rule the market these days.


RE: Not surprised
By omnicronx on 5/20/2008 4:22:08 PM , Rating: 2
Apple does not cator to a large market, because Apple does not cator to the corporate world. Until they do, they missing out on a good 80% of computer sales each year. Where there is windows at work, there is usually windows at home. With apples current business model it is just not going to be possible to curtail to business's. After all unlike home user, its 'function over form', not 'form over function' (should be apples slogan)


RE: Not surprised
By Parhel on 5/20/2008 4:30:09 PM , Rating: 2
quote:
Where there is windows at work, there is usually windows at home.


Surprisingly, I hear people talk about switching to Mac at home for exactly that reason. They use Windows for work, and want something different at home.

That was pretty much Apple's strategy many years ago, though, when they were heavily promoting their systems at schools. If people grow up using Apple, they will buy an Apple when they have to make a decision. Granted, it didn't work, but it seems like a great strategy to me.


RE: Not surprised
By mmntech on 5/20/2008 5:00:33 PM , Rating: 2
OS X is specifically marketed as a home/lifestyle system. It includes software specifically for that while Windows is still pretty bare bones out of the box. Windows in my opinion is a bit of a compromise between a business and a home OS with the emphasis put on business. Vista has kind of changed that though, alienating that vital market in the process. A lot of people have become disenchanted with Microsoft in recent years. The Vista controversy hasn't helped much. It doesn't matter if techies think it's FUD or not. People just aren't buying it. More people than ever are seeking alternatives.

As for the school marketing comment, the reason Apple lost ground in the mid-1990s was because the hardware was beginning to rapidly fall behind. People realized they could get a Windows PC cheaper with better hardware. The systems have caught up at this point and a lot of people find OS X more satisfying and easier to use than Windows. There are polls on that if you guys don't believe me. Of course the iPod boom has a lot to do with the recent success of Macintosh. Mac is simply trendy when it wasn't before. You get a hold of that high end urban hipster scene, that's all you need. It trickles down from there. It's not a revolutionary form of marketing but it's effective none the less. It's pretty blatant in their commercials. People see Windows as the stuffed shirt and Mac as being hip.


RE: Not surprised
By daftrok on 5/20/2008 7:14:34 PM , Rating: 2
I hate those commercials. I find it fascinating that a computer company with such a small share of the market is gloating about how easy to use and "affordable" their products are. I highly doubt the big ones (Dell, HP, Lenovo, Acer, etc.) consider Apple a threat because of how laughably expensive their hardware is.

Sure you can see a good number of sales but the fact of the matter is its expensive and therefore won't become a challenge until they go Walmart on their prices.


RE: Not surprised
By Pirks on 5/20/2008 7:26:26 PM , Rating: 5
Why would Apple want to go Walmart on their prices? After Apple captures all the high-end PC market (except for gaming PCs from boutiques like VoodooPC) they don't have to go any Walmart pricing, there's no reason.

Think about it - you sit on the most lucrative segment of the market, all the other home PC makers are forced to sell cheap low-profit boxes, and you get all the cream form the market by selling most profitable stuff. There's no reason to lower prices then - just keep your market share steady and make sure all the people with extra $1000+ in their pocket go to your stores. Let the poor people with less money to go to other stores and buy gazillions of cheapo boxes.

After all - why would you care if money-wise you're making the same money as all the other PC makers together? You sell one $1200 iMac and Dell sells three $400 desktops. You have same revenue as Dell but with higher profit.

See? No reason to go Walmart at all. Apple never competed on price, just because they can always compete on something else.


RE: Not surprised
By retrospooty on 5/20/2008 7:42:16 PM , Rating: 2
"After Apple captures all the high-end PC market"

On what planet will that happen? It certainly wont be on this one.

I am all for Mac selling well... (More Mac's means more competition and will force the Windows PC side to innovate faster and/or lower prices, thus we consumers win) But I dont think by anyone's estimates they will capture the high end market. You can get a higher end PC for less than $1000, and no matter how you cut it, Apple is still fluttering at about 7% of the market, not really growing percentage-wise either.

http://marketshare.hitslink.com/report.aspx?qprid=...


RE: Not surprised
By Pirks on 5/20/2008 8:16:14 PM , Rating: 1
Well, I meant retail $1000+ PC market - the market where common public buys their high-end home computers (not gaming ones, these are niche machines, hence not an interesting target for Apple). Apple is already dominating this kind of market in the US and will dominate even more as they build more and more retail stores across the country. Once they capture say 80% of the $1000+ retail PC market - there you go, it's done.

After that moment Apple can just sit there and enjoy their market dominance - they control vast majority (well, 80% is pretty close to that, isn't it? ;-) of the most lucrative and high-profit segment of the market for the retail prebuilt home computers, they let all the other poor guys to sell less profitable models for cheap - everybody wins, Apple grabs about a half of the home computer market spending, which is huge by itself, so they can focus on some other interesting projects then - enterprise/business oriented smartphones or something...

Like I said - whatever you call it, all the high-end retail PC market or just the 80% of this market - whatever... the point is: once Apple controls all of it or almost all of it - there's no incentive for them to start price war 'cause this will lead to loss of profitability which Dell may afford, but not Apple for sure. This is like a suicide for them. Or for their image at the very least.


RE: Not surprised
By retrospooty on 5/20/2008 9:11:43 PM , Rating: 2
Dominating a tiny portion of the market doesnt mean a whole lot.

Apple is doing very well financially, and has had a few great quarters regarding sales of MAcs but overall marketshare isnt increasing anymore. Its been stagnant since Christmas.


RE: Not surprised
By Pirks on 5/20/2008 9:27:40 PM , Rating: 1
quote:
Dominating a tiny portion of the market doesnt mean a whole lot
Well, luxury goods are not supposed to capture a significant portion of the market in the first place. If the goods are sold everywhere for a low price, like Windows PCs, they are not luxury goods anymore :-)

So yeah, you can say dominating a tiny luxury portion of the big market doesn't mean a whole lot - probably a few of Toyota execs got flamed a while ago when they where arguing for creation of a new brand - Lexus.

I suppose people like you were also asking them somethig like "what are you talking about? why should we create this special brand just to dominate that tiny luxury car market? they only sell a few thousand every year, don't bother with them, let's make only the cheap cars and sell a LOT of them!"


RE: Not surprised
By retrospooty on 5/20/2008 9:41:49 PM , Rating: 2
Whatever... I doubt these figures anyhow. There are SOOOOOOO many ways to count that its not even funny. I trust the netapps link I posted above to show marketshare. It shows Apple to be at about 7% since Christmas 07. This is a significant increase for Apple as they were 3-4% for the past decade.

I think that it has about peaked. Apple needs to do something different to grow it any more.